经济理论与经济管理 ›› 2013, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (12): 35-42.

• 经济热点 • 上一篇    下一篇

人民币汇率改革评析

 王芳   

  1. 中国人民大学财政金融学院,北京100872
  • 收稿日期:2013-06-09 出版日期:2013-12-16 发布日期:2013-12-20
  • 作者简介:王芳(1974—),女,山东牟平人,中国人民大学财政金融学院副教授,经济学博士。

A REVIEW OF RMB EXCHANGE RATE REFORM

 WANG  Fang   

  1. School of Finance,Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, China
  • Received:2013-06-09 Online:2013-12-16 Published:2013-12-20

摘要: 本文对近20年来人民币汇率改革的实际成效进行评价,笔者认为改革配套措施的短视化倾向制约了汇率市场化改革目标的实现程度。除了参考IMF事实汇率分类法的外部评价,本文以高度市场化的香港离岸人民币汇率作为参考指标,通过定量分析证明境内人民币即期汇率中间价的市场化程度低于收盘价。本文最后强调,深化汇率改革的关键在于完善汇率形成的市场基础以及淡化中央银行汇率责任。

关键词: 汇率并轨 , 人民币汇率 , 汇率市场化

Abstract: This paper reviewed recent developments of RMB exchange rate regime established since 1994. This paper concluded that some reforming measures served the interests of shortterm policy goals even more than that of the given target of exchange rate marketization, which had hindered the accomplishment of RMB exchange rate reform. Both de facto classification of exchange rate arrangement by IMF and the comparative quantitative analysis with the highly marketized Hong Kong offshore RMB exchange rate were helpful to judge the flexibility of current RMB exchange rate.This paper argued that more diversified market participants and less exchange rate responsibilities would determine the future RMB exchange rate reform.

Key words: nification of exchange rates , RMB exchange rate regime , exchange rate marketization