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Table of Content

    16 September 2018, Volume 38 Issue 9
    TFP MEASUREMENTS OF CHINA ECONOMY AND ITS INDUSTRIAL SECTORS:BASED ON RBC MODEL
    LIU Wei1,2 ZHANG Liyuan1
    2018, 38(9):  5-22. 
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    The paper aims at measuring and analyzing the level of and annual average growth rate of total productivity factor (TFP) of China economy and its three major industrial sectors, the level of supererogation and rationalization of industrial structure. With required data of 37 other countries, this paper implements an international comparison. This paper applies a basic RBC model to derive the TFP measurement equation and proposes two indices to quantify the level of supererogation and of rationalization of industrial structure. This paper finds that the differences in level of TFP among industrial sectors, largescale transfer of human capital between the sectors and structural benefits could reasonably explain two seemingly contradictory economic facts that Chinas economy has been experienced a high annual average growth rate of TFP while its industrial sectors have not. This paper uses mathematical and empirical methods and confirms the existence of the effect of output growth rate and of structural benefits. This paper also shows that both of the level of
    supererogation and of rationalization of industrial structure of China economy are much lower than those of almost all of the highincome countries with an international comparison.
    ENTREPRENEURSHIP MEASUREMENT AND EMPIRICAL STUDIES: RESEARCH PROGRESS AND DEVELOPMENT DIRECTION#br#
    YUAN WeiWU Yilin
    2018, 38(9):  23-33. 
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     This paper sorts out quantitative research on entrepreneurial measurement and related research from the perspective of literature review. It shows the status quo of entrepreneurial measurement and empirical research, and analyzes the existing researches in the aspects of theoretical perfection, practice orientation and policy optimization. With the rise of “double innovation” as a national strategy, Chinas entrepreneurship has achieved rapid development under the impetus of a large number of policies, presenting a series of new laws and new problems that require systematic measurement and empirical solutions. Based on the practical problems found in the China Entrepreneurship Survey, this paper proposes eight future research directions, in order to provide direction and reference for the academic research of entrepreneurship from the perspective of practice orientation and problem orientation, to promote the improvement of the policy system of “mass entrepreneurship, innovation” and to improve the development of entrepreneurial theory system based on Chinese practice.
    TRADE OPENNESS, INDUSTRIAL GEOGRAPHY AND GREEN DEVELOPMENT——A Perspective of Agglomeration and Industrial Heterogeneity
    LU Fei1,LIU Minghui2,SUN Yuanyuan1
    2018, 38(9):  34-47. 
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    Based on CD function and CES production function, this paper simulates the logic of industrial geography and builds an equation with energy saving technology to explain the relationship among trade openness, industrial geography and green development. Theoretical part shows that trade openness has the heterogeneity effect on formation of industrial geography, and the interaction effect between trade openness and industrial geography on green development own nonlinear characteristics. This paper establishes the green development index, which including some indicators from The Green Development Index System. We use panel data with 30 provinces from 2004 to 2015 to conduct an empirical research. The results show that the effect of trade openness would be influenced by both import and export, and the type they worked on different industrial agglomeration has linear, U type and inverted U type features, which reflect obvious heterogeneity. It also has permeable boundary, whose influence on some industrial location is not significant at present. Compared with the direct effect of open trade and green development, the effect of interaction between trade openness and industrial geography on
    green development would be enhanced or weakened under different circumstances.
    TO WORRY MORE ABOUT UNEQUAL DISTRIBUTION OF WEALTH THAN POVERTY——Impact of Relative Living Standard on Mental Health among Chinese Population
    ZHOU Qin1,QIN Xuezheng2,LIU Guoen3
    2018, 38(9):  48-63. 
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    Wellbeing is an important aspect of peoples life quality, and correlates with both personal and social development. The subjective wellbeing of residents, however, has declined with economic growth in recent decades in China. Meanwhile, the prevalence rate of mental disorders and suicide rate continue to rise. Using the 2013 CHARLS data, we aim to explore the impact of relative living standard on subjective wellbeing among Chinese population. CESD10 was employed to measure the participants depressive symptoms as the indicator of subjective wellbeing. We employ the model of instrument variable (IV) and find as follows. First, individuals with relatively higher living standard are less likely to be depressed, regardless of the reference group, and people with relatively higher living standard compared with his/her colleagues and classmates see the largest benefit, and county/city average level see the smallest benefit. Second, the impact of comparisons is asymmetric: the harm on subjective wellbeing due to lower living standard level outnumbers the benefit due to higher living standard level. Third, compared with richer people, those poorer people are more likely to compare with others, and are more likely to be affected by the impact of relative living standard. Our results imply the condition of “to worry about unequal distribution of wealth
    than poverty” in China. The evidence on relative incomehappiness gradient justify that reducing income gap among people may also have the spillover benefit of improving population mental health.
    CAN RAISING MINIMUM QUALITY STANDARD REALLY IMPROVE SOCIAL WELFARE
    WANG Yu,TANG Jiahong,WEI Shouhua
    2018, 38(9):  64-72. 
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    This paper attempts to analyze the effectiveness of MQS on quality improvement and its influence on social welfare, based on a duopoly model with vertical
    differentiation of quality. Our research indicates that the effectiveness of MQS is significantly influenced by the technology gap between firms as well as regulation efficiency, and it has differentiated impacts on different firms. Under the background of large technology gap between foreign and domestic firms, the government will face a dilemma: setting a low MQS or loosening regulation. Interest conflicts also exist between firms and consumers, and between different firms as well. Solutions to the problem include helping domestic firms narrow the technology gap and continuously improving regulation efficiency.
    THE IMPACT OF MONETARY POLICY ON BANK RISK TAKING BASED ON DSGE MODEL—— How Monetary Policy Responses
    GUO Tianyong1,YANG Fan1,LI Dan2
    2018, 38(9):  73-89. 
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    This paper aims to study the influence mechanism of the monetary policy on banks risktaking, and analyze how the monetary policy should be addressed. Based on a DSGE model to analyze the conduction mechanism of banks risktaking behavior, the results show that under the conditions of asymmetric information and limited debt, there exists moral hazard in banks behavior, which means banks will not choose to take optimal risk, instead will choose to take excess risk. For response to the low efficiency caused by bank excess risk taking, the “optimal” monetary policy designed by this paper should focus on stabilizing the trend of real interest rates, and tolerate the explosive volatility of inflation, in order to reduce the loss of social welfare caused by bank excess risktaking behavior.
    THE TIMEVARYING PASSTHROUGH EFFECT OF GLOBAL COMMODITY PRICE ON CHINESE INFLATION
    WU Zhouheng1,LI Jinghong1,WANG Mingxin2
    2018, 38(9):  90. 
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    This paper applies world commodity price index and subcategories index, industrial production, money supply and domestic up and downstream prices, and the time varying parameter vector autoregression model, to investigate the dynamic passthrough effect of global commodity price on Chinese inflations. The results show as follows. First, there are significant changes in passthrough effect over time, which are the results of heterogeneous dynamic of different category of commodities and the heterogeneous transmission path to up and downstream prices. Second, from 1997 to 2017, the passthrough to upstream price level is stable. However, the passthrough to the downstream price level is dropping. Third, from 2012, the differences in passthrough effects explain the persistent deviation between PPI and CPI.
    EVALUATION CHINESE OVERSEA INVESTMENT RISK—— Based on InvestorState Dispute Settlement Cases
    SHI HuiminWANG Yucheng
    2018, 38(9):  103-112. 
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    In recent years, Chinas outward FDI and its related risk have significantly increased. It makes the evaluation and precaution of the outward FDI risk important. The ISDS mechanism under international investment agreements framework has gradually become one of the main tools to protect investors outward FDI. This paper reviews the development history and characteristics of ISDS mechanism and analyzes the determinants of the ISDS cases by using the ISDS data base. We find that Chinas outward FDI concentrate in the industries and areas where there are many ISDS cases, which imply that there is huge risk in the investment. The regression results show that the ISDS case are more likely to occur in those host countries with lower economics development level, lower GDP per capita and worse political environment.