关键词: 2023年经济展望, 经济安全, 自然走势, 政策目标, 宏观调控

Abstract: In 2022，China's economy showed a V-shaped trend，with a GDP growth rate of 3%，which is 2.5 percentage points lower than the growth target set at the beginning of the year Looking forward to 2023，issues such as the reduction of the country's total population，the sharp decline in labor force，the trend of COVID-19 epidemic，the changes in market expectations，the impact of previous policies，and changes in international political and economic situation will become important factors affecting China's economic development in the future The natural trend of China's economy will be a pattern of recovery both in supply and demand，but will still be lower than the potential growth rate In addition，real estate market crisis，local government debt，exchange rate and currency crisis，and external economic environment will become important risk points for China's economic development in the future In view of this，the policy target for 2023 should focus on the demand side，and at the same time provide necessary support for the stable recovery of the supply side and the continuous improvement of the market environment

Key words: economic outlook 2023；economic security；natural trends；policy objectives；macro-control  ,