经济理论与经济管理 ›› 2015, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (6): 5-20.

• 经济热点 •    下一篇

财政困局下经济结构调整路径的再定位*

中国人民大学“中国宏观经济分析与预测”课题组   

  1. 中国人民大学
  • 出版日期:2015-06-16 发布日期:2015-06-23
  • 作者简介:本文执笔人:郭杰、 于泽、 吕冰洋、贾俊雪、 张杰、 范志勇。
  • 基金资助:

    本文为国家社科基金重大项目“加快推进经济发展方式转变和经济结构调整的我国财政政策及财政管理模式研究”(12&ZD092)成果;“中国特色社会主义经济建设协同创新中心”子项目“认识、适应和引领经济新常态研究”阶段性研究成果。

REORIENTATION OF THE ECONOMIC STRUCTURE ADJUSTMENT
UNDER FISCAL DILEMMA

Macroeconomic Analysis and Forecast Research Group   

  1. Renmin University of China
  • Online:2015-06-16 Published:2015-06-23

摘要: 我国财政体制和经济社会发展环境的不协调等因素,导致当前甚至未来较长时间财政都将面临着总量上的收支矛盾和结构上的央地矛盾,财政陷入困局。政府主导的供给方结构调整对财政支出和减税要求较高,在财政困局下难以为继。因此,结构调整路径应定位于市场主导的需求方。经济下行周期中企业腾挪空间较小,政府仅通过减税等给企业松绑并不能帮助企业发展,而必须通过投资模式创新等激发总需求。为此,需要相应的财政变革。

关键词: 财政困局 , 结构调整 , 路径定位 , 财政变革

Abstract: The discordance between Chinese fiscal mechanism and the development of social and economic environment causes the fiscal contradiction in the balance of payment and the structure contradiction between central and regional government, which leads to the fiscal policy dilemma. The structural adjustment conducted by the supply side of the government highly requires for government spending and tax reduction. Therefore, it is hard to persist. So the structural adjustment should focus on the demand side of the market. In the downward trending of economy, companies do not have much flexibility, so that tax reduction conducted by government cannot help companies to develop. Instead, we need to spur the aggregate demand through innovations. To sum up, we need to carry out adaptable fiscal reform.

Key words: fiscal dilemma , structural adjustment , fiscal reform , reorientation