关键词: 贸易开放 , 空间依赖 , 空间杜宾增长模型

Abstract: This paper employs a spatial Durbin growth model to estimate the impact of trade openness on regional per capita income in China using a data set of 326 Chinese prefecture level regions over the period 2010—2012. We calculate the direct, indirect and cumulative impact on per capita income of trade openness and human capital in these regions. Results indicate that greater trade openness in a region promotes economic development locally, and exerting positive influence on per capita income of the neighboring regions. Our findings also show that human capital has a positivedirect and indirectimpact on the economic development of Chinese prefecture level regions.

Key words: trade openness , spatial dependence , spatial Durbin growth model