关键词: 人民币国际化 , 路径 , 预测 , 改革

Abstract: In the background of global economic crisis and fast growing of China, this paper built a route of the internationalization of Renminbi on the monetary function. The empirical models suggested that the flowing and stock of Renminbi in official reserve, international settlement and international debt securities market would grow fast. However, it was difficult to shake the position of US dollar. Under the broad prospects, the internationalization of Renminbi could be promoted in three areas. The first was to improve the reform of economic and financial system, build a positive interaction between the reform and internationalization. The second was to improve the involvement of Renminbi in both international market and international governance. The third was to build the linkage between onshore and offshore market by enlarge the crossborder tunnels and develop Hong Kong offshore market.

Key words: internationalization of Renminbi , route , forecast , reform