经济理论与经济管理 ›› 2014, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (2): 5-16.

• 经济热点 •    下一篇

中国城市群人口流动与
区域经济发展平衡性研究
——基于全国第六次人口普查长表数据的分析

 纪韶, 朱志胜   

  1. 首都经济贸易大学劳动经济学院,北京 100070
  • 收稿日期:2013-11-29 出版日期:2014-02-16 发布日期:2014-02-28
  • 作者简介:纪韶(1954—),女,辽宁沈阳人,首都经济贸易大学劳动经济学院教授,劳动经济研究中心副主任,博士生导师,经济学博士; 朱志胜(1986—),男,浙江杭州人,首都经济贸易大学劳动经济学院硕士研究生。
  • 基金资助:

    国家社科基金项目(09BJL020);国务院第六次全国人口普查招标课题(51)

EQUILIBRIUM OF POPULATION MIGRATION AND
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT IN URBAN AGGLOMERATIONS IN CHINA
——Based on Data from the Sixth Census

 JI  Shao, ZHU  Zhi-Sheng   

  1. School of Labor Economics, Capital University of Economics and Business, Beijing 100070, China
  • Received:2013-11-29 Online:2014-02-16 Published:2014-02-28

摘要: 本文利用2010年全国第六次人口普查长表数据系统分析了我国24个城市群的人口流动模式,并运用基尼算法测算人口流动前后城市群人口与经济发展平衡性演化。研究结果表明:1我国城市群之间及内部人口流动规模庞大,人口流入和流出均呈集中趋势,人口流入集中特征尤为明显。2城市群流动人口分布呈现“极化”和“属地化”特征,东部城市群和所在经济区内城市群是主要人口流入区域,东部城市群大规模的人口流入与流出并存,且绝大部分流入人口来自城市群覆盖省份以外。3珠三角城市群仍为我国最重要的人口强势流入中心,江淮城市群和环鄱阳湖城市群则构成我国的人口强势流出中心。4我国城市群人口分布与经济发展平衡状况总体较为合理,各城市群之间平衡性差异显著但并未出现明显的区域分化,人口流动显著改善了城市群内部的人口分布与经济发展平衡性。

关键词: 城市群 , 流动模式 , 平衡性 , 基尼算法

Abstract: Based on the data from the sixth census in 2010, this paper analyzes the migration patterns of population in urban agglomerations, while using the Gini algorithm measures the equilibrium of population and economic in urban agglomerations before and after migration. The study shows the following findings. Firstly, the scale of migration is large in urban agglomerations, population inflows and outflows show a central tendency, especially the inflows concentration. Secondly, the distribution of migration presented the feature of polarization and localization. The urban agglomerations in the east are the main inflow area. The population inflows and outflows are coexisted in the east urban agglomerations where the most of Inflows population come from other provinces. Thirdly, the Pearl River Delta urban agglomeration is still the most important center of inflows population. The Jianghuai and the Ring of Boyanghu urban agglomeration are the center of outflow s population. Fourthly, the equilibrium of population and economic development of the urban agglomerations is reasonable. The difference between the equilibrium in agglomerations is significant but there was no obvious regional differentiation. The population migration significantly improved the equilibrium of population and economic in urban agglomerations.

Key words: urban agglomerations , migration patterns , equilibrium , Gini algorithm