关键词: 对外直接投资 , 宏观风险 , 模糊一致矩阵

Abstract: International political and economic environment implicate increasing uncertainty in the postfinancial crisis eraThe macro level risk of foreign investment of our country is increasingAssessment of host countrys macro level risk is become an important part of OFDI decision making processThis paper analyses political and policy risk，macroeconomic risk，market risk，sector risk，operation and management risk of Chinas foreign direct investmentFuzzy consistent matrix method is applied，with OFDI restrictiveness indices，percentage change of constant price GDP，interest rate and number of firms went bankrupt as indicators，to analyze macro level risk in fifteen OECD countries，which are important host country of Chinas outward direct investmentThe results give an overall risk assessment of the countries，and a new method of OFDI risk assessment based on a fuzzy analysis is built

Key words: foreign direct investment , macro level risk , fuzzy consistent matrix