关键词: 人口老龄化 , 劳动力供给 , 劳动参与率 , 城乡劳动力转移 , 人力资本

Abstract: In order to shed lights on the impact of an aging population on the labor market in China, this paper examines labor participation rates, ruralurban migration and human resources. It is found that, labor participation rates of certain age groups are relatively low. The labor supply in the agriculture sector seems to be abundant; however, population in rural areas, which is particularly aging, cannot sustain a large flow of cityward migration. Given the educational development in China, youngsters educational level and human capital have significantly improved. Consequently, population aging will negatively affect the supply of labor in the future; nonetheless, it will not bring sudden and catastrophic shocks in a short period.

Key words: population aging , labor supply , labor participation rate , rural migrant workers , human capital