经济理论与经济管理 ›› 2012, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (01): 73-81.

• 公共经济 • 上一篇    下一篇

间接税对供需失衡的影响分析

  

  1. 1中国人民大学财政金融学院财政金融政策研究中心 2 台湾逢甲大学财税学系   中国台湾
  • 收稿日期:2011-11-05 出版日期:2012-01-16 发布日期:2012-03-05
  • 作者简介:吕冰洋(1973—),男,山东威海人,中国人民大学财政金融学院财政金融政策研究中心副教授,经济学博士 谢耀智(1968—),男,台湾台中人,台湾逢甲大学财税学系副教授,经济学博士
  • 基金资助:

    国家自然科学基金项目(71073161); 教育部新世纪优秀人才支持计划项目

THE INFLUENCE OF INDIRECT TAX ON THE UNBALANCE
BETWEEN SUPPLY AND DEMAND

  1. 1China Financial Policy Research Center,School of Finance, Renmin University of China 2 College of Business, Feng Chia University, Chinese Taiwan
  • Received:2011-11-05 Online:2012-01-16 Published:2012-03-05

摘要: 从20世纪90年代后期开始到现在,我国同时出现了两个重要的经济现象,一是间接税高速增长,二是宏观经济供需失衡。本文通过建立一般均衡模型和实证分析,研究了这两种经济现象的内在联系,本文的结论是,征收生产型增值税同时抑制投资和消费,整体上对供需失衡的影响不显著;营业税由于税收容易转嫁、存在双重征税的原因,其增长严重强化了供需失衡局面;以消费为税基的税种全部是间接税,消费平均税率的提高强化了供需失衡局面。

关键词: 间接税 , 供需失衡 , 税收政策

Abstract: Since the late 1990s, Chinas macroeconomic performance has emerged two significant phenomena: the rapid growth of indirect tax and the unbalance between supply and demand This article studied the inner relation between two economic phenomena by building a general equilibrium model and applying empirical analysis The productive value added tax restrained the investment and consumption together, and its influence on the unbalance between supply and demand was insignificant The business taxs growth intensely strengthened the macroeconomic unbalance, because the business tax was easily shift to consumers and existed double tax levyAll taxes on the base of consumption were indirect tax, so the increase of average tax rate of consumption base tax would strengthen the macroeconomic unbalance

Key words: indirect tax , unbalance between supply and demand , tax policy