关键词: 经济周期 , 宏观经济走势 , 适度经济增长 , 政策取向

Abstract: Based on historical and logic analysis, this paper argued that Chinas future macroeconomic trends were determined by Chinas and global economic governance mode and policy, which presented a positive trend in coming years Therefore the goals of Chinas economic policy were to maintain moderate growth, to promote structural adjustment and to control inflation in 2012 and the coming period.

Key words: business cycle , macroeconomic trend , moderate economic growth , policy option