经济理论与经济管理 ›› 2011, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (4): 55-63.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

生产性服务业与地区经济增长——基于调节效应的影响因素及其有效性研究

马龙龙   

  1. 中国人民大学商学院, 北京, 100872
  • 收稿日期:2011-01-12 出版日期:2011-04-16 发布日期:2011-05-10
  • 作者简介:马龙龙(1952- ),男,北京市人,中国人民大学商学院教授,博士生导师,中国商业经济学学会副会长,经济学博士.

PRODUCER SERVICES AND REGIONAL ECONOMIC GROWTH:A STUDY ON INFLUENCE FACTORS AND THEIR VALIDITY BASED ON MODERATORS

MA Long-long   

  1. School of Business, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, China
  • Received:2011-01-12 Online:2011-04-16 Published:2011-05-10

摘要: 基于对制造业的发展规模、技术水平和专业化程度以及城市化水平、产业结构高度化水平等5个可能影响生产性服务业与地区经济增长之间关系的因素的分析,本文以我国两座处于不同经济发展阶段的城市——北京市和西安市作为研究对象,以上述两座城市的宏观统计数据为样本,通过层级回归模型对上述因素是否能够显著调节生产性服务业与地区经济增长之间的关系进行了实证检验和横向对比。研究结果表明,上述5个影响因素的调节效应在不同地区存在一定的差异。最后,本文就如何利用调节效应最大限度地释放生产性服务业对地区经济增长的促进作用提出了相关的政策建议。

关键词: 生产性服务业, 地区经济增长, 调节效应, 有效性

Abstract: This paper explored the possible effects of five factors,the industrial base,the level of manufacturing technology,the degree of manufacturing specialization,the degree of urbanization and the industrial structure level,on the relationship between producer services and regional economic growth by a theoretical analysis.Given that time and geological differences may impair the results,Beijing and Xi'an,both modern cities in China although differing in economic levels,were selected to conduct a comparative analysis.Later,a multiple regression test,with the above-mentioned five factors as moderators,was conducted to study the moderating effects.And the data source was from the statistics yearbooks of Beijing and Xi'an.Finally,based on the comparative analysis results of Beijing and Xi'an,the paper proposed some recommendations to enhance the promoting effect of productive services on regional economic growth.

Key words: producer services, regional economic growth, moderators, effectiveness

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