经济学家的通货膨胀预期:理论与实证

经济理论与经济管理 ›› 2010, Vol. ›› Issue (4): 25-32.

经济学家的通货膨胀预期:理论与实证

李永宁¹, 赵钧², 黄明皓³

1. 国家外汇管理局, 北京, 100048;
2. 天津商业大学, 天津, 300134;
3. 中国人民银行金融研究所, 北京, 100800

收稿日期:2010-01-05 出版日期:2010-04-16 发布日期:2012-03-01

THE ECONOMIST'S INFLATION EXPECTATION:THEORY AND PRACTICE

LI Yong-ning¹, ZHAO Jun², HUANG Min-hao³

1. The State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Beijing 100048, China;
2. Tianjin University of Commerce, Tianjin 300400, China;
3. The Research Bureau of the People's Bank of China, Beijing 100800, China

Received:2010-01-05 Online:2010-04-16 Published:2012-03-01

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 本文主要研究我国经济学家通货膨胀预期的特点、决定因素、形成方式、通货膨胀预期和通货膨胀的关系。在以上研究的基础上,本文提出防止通货膨胀预期主要在于建立央行反对通货膨胀的"信任度"战略。

关键词: 经济学家, 通货膨胀预期, 名义锚, 适应性预期

Abstract: This paper aims to study the characteristics,the determining factors,and the formation of the economist's inflation expectations,and the relationship between inflation expectation and inflation.Based on the above discussion,this paper further proposes that the central bank's confidence strategy should be established to prevent the inflation expectation.

Key words: economist, inflation’s expectation, nominal anchor, adaptive expectation

中图分类号:

F820.5

李永宁, 赵钧, 黄明皓. 经济学家的通货膨胀预期:理论与实证[J]. 经济理论与经济管理, 2010, (4): 25-32.

LI Yong-ning, ZHAO Jun, HUANG Min-hao. THE ECONOMIST'S INFLATION EXPECTATION:THEORY AND PRACTICE[J]. Economic Theory and Business Management, 2010, (4): 25-32.