经济增长、结构变化与电力消费——为什么经济增长与电力消费不同步

经济理论与经济管理 ›› 2010, Vol. ›› Issue (2): 27-32.

经济增长、结构变化与电力消费——为什么经济增长与电力消费不同步

林卫斌¹, 苏剑²

1. 北京师范大学经济与资源管理研究院, 北京, 100875;
2. 北京大学经济学院, 北京, 100871

收稿日期:2009-09-01 出版日期:2010-02-16 发布日期:2012-03-01

ECONOMIC GROWTH,STRUCTURE CHANGE AND ELECTRIC POWER CONSUMPTION——Why Is Economic Growth and Electric Power Consumption Are not Synchronized

LIN Wei-bin¹, SU Jian²

1. Institute of Economic and Resources Management, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China;
2. School of Economics, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China

Received:2009-09-01 Online:2010-02-16 Published:2012-03-01

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 本文就经济增长与结构变化对电力消费的影响进行了定量分析。结果表明,GDP增长率每提高一个百分点,生产部门用电量增长率将提高0.58个百分点;而重工业总产值比重每提高一个百分点,则生产部门用电量增长率将提高1.89个百分点。产业结构的变化是经济增长与电力消费不同步的重要因素,但是二者的背离程度无法从产业结构的变化得到完全的解释。

关键词: 结构变化, 单位产值耗电量, 电力消费

Abstract: A quantitative analysis for the effects of industrial activity and structure to electric power consumption is taken in this paper.It can be concluded from empirical analysis that the growth rate of electric power consumption in production department increased by 0.58% while every percentage gained by the growth rate of GDP.And it improved by 1.89% when 1% the ratio of gross output value in heavy industry get.Industrial structure change is an important cause of the phenomenon which GDP and electric power consumption are not growing at the same time.However,the extent that they deviate can't be fully explained by the industrial structure change.

Key words: industrial structure change, electric power consumption per unit GDP, electric power consumption

中图分类号:

F047.1

林卫斌, 苏剑. 经济增长、结构变化与电力消费——为什么经济增长与电力消费不同步[J]. 经济理论与经济管理, 2010, (2): 27-32.

LIN Wei-bin, SU Jian. ECONOMIC GROWTH,STRUCTURE CHANGE AND ELECTRIC POWER CONSUMPTION——Why Is Economic Growth and Electric Power Consumption Are not Synchronized[J]. Economic Theory and Business Management, 2010, (2): 27-32.