经济理论与经济管理 ›› 2010, Vol. ›› Issue (12): 19-26.

• 理论探索 • 上一篇    下一篇

金融发展与中国跨省消费风险分担

赵国庆, 张中元   

  1. 中国人民大学经济学院, 北京, 100872
  • 收稿日期:2010-10-16 出版日期:2010-12-16 发布日期:2012-03-01
  • 基金资助:
    中国人民大学985工程中国经济研究哲学社会科学创新基地项目;中国人民大学2010年博士研究生学术新人奖项目:“FDI技术溢出效应对中国技术进步的影响”;中国人民大学科学研究基金项目(中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助)

FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT AND INTER-PROVINCIAL RISK SHARING OF CHINA'S CONSUMPTION

ZHAO Guo-qing, ZHANG Zhong-yuan   

  1. School of Economics, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, China
  • Received:2010-10-16 Online:2010-12-16 Published:2012-03-01

摘要: 本文利用中国1978—2008年间的省级数据,考察金融发展对消费风险分担程度的影响,结果发现风险分担程度随时间显著变化。在1978-1992年时间段上,金融深化提高了消费的风险分担程度,而信贷市场发展对消费的风险分担程度的影响并不明显。在1993-2002年时间段上,信贷市场发展提高了消费的风险分担程度,而金融深化降低了消费的风险分担程度。在2003-2008年时间段上,金融深化对消费的风险分担程度的影响并不明显,只有微弱的证据表明,信贷市场发展在该阶段提高了各省人均居民消费的风险分担程度。而证券市场发展对消费的风险分担程度的影响一直不明显。

关键词: 消费, 金融发展, 风险分担

Abstract: Using the correlated Chinese province-level data during 1978-2008,this paper examines the effect of financial development on the inter-provincial risk sharing.The evidences suggest that the inter-provincial risk sharing is time varying.Financial depth helps improve the degree of risk sharing while the credit market development plays limited role during 1978-1992.However,the credit market development helps improve the degree of risk sharing while the financial development depresses the degree of risk sharing during 1993-2002.Financial depth has non-existent inter-provincial risk sharing and the credit market development has tenuous effect on the improvement of the degree of risk sharing among inter-provincial per capita household consumption expenditure during 2003-2008.This paper also finds limited evidence suggesting that stock market development help improve the degree of risk sharing.

Key words: consumption, financial development, risk sharing

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