经济理论与经济管理 ›› 2010, Vol. ›› Issue (11): 33-39.

• 理论探索 • 上一篇    下一篇

碳减排约束条件下的内生经济增长机制研究

张清, 陶小马, 杨鹏   

  1. 同济大学经济与管理学院, 上海, 201804
  • 收稿日期:2010-09-16 出版日期:2010-11-16 发布日期:2012-03-01
  • 基金资助:
    上海市科技发展基金“超大型城市低碳化的系统结构研究”(10692103000)

ENDOGENOUS ECONOMIC GROWTH UNDER RESTRAINTS OF CARBON ABATEMENT

ZHANG Qing, TAO Xiao-ma, YANG Peng   

  1. 1. School of Economic Management, Tongji University, Shanghai 201804, China;
    2. Guangxi Academy of Social Science, Nanning 530032, China
  • Received:2010-09-16 Online:2010-11-16 Published:2012-03-01

摘要: 本文将碳减排的约束条件及碳减排成本弹性系数引入生产函数,将人们对气候变化的警惕意识引入效用函数,在内生经济增长模型的研究框架内系统分析了碳减排影响经济增长的内在机制以及实现经济增长和控制碳排放双重目标的条件。研究表明:在低碳基础设施不完善及低碳技术应用不广泛的阶段,加快碳减排将给经济带来较大的负效应;控制碳排放除了与碳减排速率、非化石类能源的增长等客观因素有关外,还与人们应对气候变化的主观意识有关;为实现社会福利最大化条件下的长期经济增长与控制大气中温室气体存量的双重目标,碳减排最终将依靠科技进步以及非化石类能源的增长。

关键词: 内生增长, 碳减排约束, 碳排放强度, 气候变化警惕意识

Abstract: By introducing restraints of carbon abatement and elasticity of carbon abatement costs into production function,and alert awareness of climate change into utility function,this paper,under the framework of endogenous economic growth model,makes a systematic analysis of the mechanism of carbon abatement's effects on economic growth,as well as the conditions for the two objectives to be achieved-stabilizing atmospheric green gases and maintaining economic growth.Several conclusions are reached: 1,when low-carbon infrastructure is incomplete and low-carbon technology not widely used,acceleration of the rate of carbon abatement will cause a great negative effect on the economy;2,apart from the objective factors such as the rate of carbon abatement and the increase of non-fossil energy,subjective factors such as people's awareness towards climate change are also important for carbon abatement;and 3,to stabilize atmospheric green gases and maintain economic growth,carbon abatement should depend on technological progress and increase of non-fossil energy.

Key words: endogenous growth, restraints of carbon abatement, carbon intensity, climate change alert awareness

中图分类号: