经济理论与经济管理 ›› 2007, Vol. ›› Issue (8): 19-24.

• 理论探索 • 上一篇    下一篇

可持续发展视野下的中国人口控制目标

王克钧   

  1. 中共甘肃省委党校经济学部, 兰州, 730070
  • 收稿日期:2007-06-03 出版日期:2007-08-16 发布日期:2012-03-01

CHINESE POPULATION CONTROL TARGET FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT

WANG Ke-jun   

  1. Department of Economics, CCP School of Gansu Province Committee, Lanzhou 730070, China
  • Received:2007-06-03 Online:2007-08-16 Published:2012-03-01

摘要: 从可持续发展的视野看,我国的长远人口总量应该保持在6亿以下,而中长期总人口目标应设定为“十一五”时期末人口总量控制在13.4亿人以内;2020年人口总量控制在14亿人左右;2030年人口总量峰值为14.2亿人左右。在峰值以后,还要继续努力,到21世纪70年代以后使我国人口下降到6亿左右。

关键词: 可持续发展, 人口, 控制目标

Abstract: From the perspective of sustainable development,Chinese long term gross population should be controlled to less than 600 millions,while by the end of the 11th-five-year plan,less than 1340 millions;by the year of 2020,1400 millions;the year of 2030,1 420 millions.After the peak value,we should try to control the gross population down to 600 millions after 2070s.

Key words: sustainable development, population, control target

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