经济理论与经济管理 ›› 2006, Vol. ›› Issue (6): 5-11.

• 理论探索 •    下一篇

中国要素产出弹性估计

赵志耘1, 刘晓路2, 吕冰洋2   

  1. 1. 中国科学技术信息研究所, 北京, 100038;
    2. 中国人民大学财政金融学院, 北京, 100872
  • 收稿日期:2006-03-01 出版日期:2006-06-16 发布日期:2012-03-01
  • 基金资助:
    国家社会科学基金重点项目(04AJY006)

ESTIMATING THE OUTPUT ELASTICITY OF FACTORS IN CHINA

ZHAO Zhi-yun1, LIU Xiao-lu2, LU Bing-yang2   

  1. 1. China Research Center of Scientific Technological Information, Beijing 100038, China;
    2. School of Finance, Renmio University of China, Beijing 100872, China
  • Received:2006-03-01 Online:2006-06-16 Published:2012-03-01

摘要: 要素产出弹性是分析经济增长的绩效、特征与可持续性等问题的重要参数。我国改革开放以来要素产出弹性估计结果是:1978-2004年,资本的产出弹性平均为0.56,劳动的产出弹性平均为0.44,并且资本的产出弹性呈不断下降趋势,而劳动产出弹性呈不断上升趋势;东部地区的资本产出弹性高于中部地区,中部地区又高于西部地区;全要素生产率年均增长率在3.7%~3.9%之间。

关键词: 要素产出弹性, 生产函数, 面板数据模型, 非参数估计

Abstract: Output elasticity of factors are very important for analyzing the performance,characteristics,and sustainability of economic growth.The estimation of output elasticity of factors in China since reform from 1978 to 2004 is:the average output elasticity of capital is 0.56,that of labor is 0.44,and the output elasticity of capital is decreasing,while that of labor increasing;output elasticity of capital in eastern areas is higher than that in middle areas,which is higher than that in western areas;the average annual growth rate of total factor productivity is between 3.7% and 3.9%.

Key words: output elasticity of factors, production function, panel data model, non-parameter estimate

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