经济理论与经济管理 ›› 2005, Vol. ›› Issue (2): 5-11.

• 宏观经济 •    下一篇

新型工业化对我国未来就业的影响

高德步1, 吕致文2   

  1. 1. 中国人民大学经济学院 北京100872;
    2. 招商局博士后流动站 深圳518067
  • 收稿日期:2005-01-08 出版日期:2005-02-16 发布日期:2012-03-01

EFFECTS OF NEW STYLE INDUSTRIALIZATION ON OUR FUTURE EMPLOYMENT

GAO De-bu1, Lu Zhi-wen2   

  1. 1. School of Economics, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, China;
    2. Postdoctoral Station of Merchant Bureau, Shenzhen 518067, Ch ina
  • Received:2005-01-08 Online:2005-02-16 Published:2012-03-01

摘要: 新型工业化对未来5年~10年我国就业的影响及压力表现在人口的绝对增长、效率优先的策略、农村剩余劳动力的快速释放三个方面,使2005—2010年之间的就业压力增大。中国的劳动密集型产业、资本密集型产业和高新技术产业的高增长水平,会带来就业空间;但资源密集型产业的低增长会减少就业机会。如果能尽量保持工业经济快速增长,2010—2015年间就业问题将逐渐趋于缓和。

关键词: 新型工业化, 就业效应, 信息化

Abstract: The effects of new style industrialization on our em pl oyment in the future of 5 to 10 years will be: absolutely increase of our popula tion, strategy of effectiveness’ first, and fast release of surplus farming labo rs. Though the high growth rate of Chinese labor-intensive, capital-intensive an d high-tech industries will ensure employment to some extent, the low growth rat e of resource-intensive industries will decrease the employment opportunities. T his employment problem would be mitigated if we could keep the growth of industr ies.

Key words: new style industrialization, employment effect, informationization

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