经济理论与经济管理 ›› 2005, Vol. ›› Issue (12): 32-37.

• 金融研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国证券市场系统性风险结构的实证分析

张宗新, 朱伟骅   

  1. 复旦大学, 上海, 200433
  • 收稿日期:2005-08-12 出版日期:2005-12-16 发布日期:2012-03-01
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金资助项目(70303006)

AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF THE STRUCTURE OF SYSTEM RISKS OF CHINA SECURITY MARKET

ZHANG Zong-xin, ZHU Wei-hua   

  1. Fudan University, Shanghai 200433, China
  • Received:2005-08-12 Online:2005-12-16 Published:2012-03-01

摘要: 实证研究表明:我国证券市场的系统性风险整体呈现降低趋势;系统性风险与市场指数存在负相关性,牛市期间系统性风险显著降低,熊市期间系统性风险持续走高;行业间变异系数增大,风险比重方差随时间变化而呈显著性差异;政策因子对系统性风险具有显著性影响,这说明我国股市很大程度上仍为政策市。

关键词: 证券市场风险, 系统性风险, 风险结构

Abstract: The empirical analysis shows that the system risks in the China security market overall emerge a reducing trend;there is a negative correlation between the system risks and market indexes,meaning that the system risks reduce significantly in bull market and rise continuously in bear market;the cross-sector coefficient of variation raises and the variance of risk-weighted changes significantly with the change of time;the policy factors have a significant effect on the system risks,indicating that the China equity market still a policy-oriented market to a large degree.

Key words: risks of security market, system risks, structure of risks

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