经济理论与经济管理 ›› 2002, Vol. ›› Issue (4): 11-15.

• 宏观经济 • 上一篇    下一篇

世界石油价格上涨对我国经济的影响

何晓群1, 魏涛远2   

  1. 1. 中国人民大学 北京100872;
    2. 国家统计局 北京100826
  • 收稿日期:2002-03-01 出版日期:2002-04-16 发布日期:2012-03-01

IMPACTS ON CHINESE ECONOMICS OF THE WORLD OIL PRICE RISE

HE Xiao-qun1, WEI Tao-yuan2   

  1. 1. Dept.of Statistics Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872;
    2. State statistical Bureau Peoples Republic of China, Beijing 100826
  • Received:2002-03-01 Online:2002-04-16 Published:2012-03-01

摘要: 一段时期以来,世界油价一直处于较高价位。而我国的石油需求将更多地依赖进口,同时我国最终将实现国内油价与世界市场的完全接轨。本文通过一个中国应用一般均衡(CNAGE)模型对世界油价上涨对我国经济的影响进行了剖析,定量研究了在我国油价实现与世界油价完全接轨时我国经济的变化情况。

关键词: 模型, 油价, 经济

Abstract: The world oil price keeps rather high recently. At the same time, our oil demand has to depend on imports more and more while the domestic oil price will catch up with that in world price finally. The paper present quantitatively the economy changes at that time by using an applied general equilibrium model of China (CNAGE) to analyze the economic impacts of world oil price rise.

Key words: model, oil price, economy

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