电力短缺、经济增长与政府规制

经济理论与经济管理 ›› 2004, Vol. ›› Issue (10): 12-18.

电力短缺、经济增长与政府规制

李善民, 余鹏翼

中山大学管理学院广州 510275

收稿日期:2004-09-06 出版日期:2004-10-16 发布日期:2012-03-01

ELECTRIC SHORTAGE, CONOMICS GROWTH AND GOVERNMENT REGULATION

LI Shan-min, YU Peng-yi

School of Business Sun Yatsen University, Guangzhou, 510275, China

Received:2004-09-06 Online:2004-10-16 Published:2012-03-01

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 对国内电力供求形势由"九五"末期的供大干求向"十五"初期的供不应求变化的研究表明:政府长期电力规划应根据电力需求增长率与经济增长率关系而制定,以避免电力波动对长期经济增长的影响。因此,建议政府在电力规制过程中,应制定"电力先行"的经济增长战略,以实现电力供应安全对经济发展保障作用的目标。

关键词: 电力短缺, 经济增长, 政府规制

Abstract: With GDP sustainable growth, supply and demand of power turn a large power surplus in 1995 to power shortage in 2003. The government regulation should be based on the long-run relationship between rate of economic growth and rate of electric demand to avoid large power surplus or shortage and therefore minimize their impacts. It is therefore, suggested that the government regulation should be taking into account the "Power First" growth strategy to realize target of economic development.

Key words: Power shortage, Economic growth, Government regulation

中图分类号:

F294.2

李善民, 余鹏翼. 电力短缺、经济增长与政府规制[J]. 经济理论与经济管理, 2004, (10): 12-18.

LI Shan-min, YU Peng-yi. ELECTRIC SHORTAGE, CONOMICS GROWTH AND GOVERNMENT REGULATION[J]. Economic Theory and Business Management, 2004, (10): 12-18.

参考文献

[1] R. R. Braeutigam. An Analysis of Fully Distributed Cost Pricing in Regulated Industries [J]. Bell Journal of Economics, Vol. 11, Spring, 1980: 182-196.
[2] H. Demsetz. Why Regulate Utilities? [J]. Journal of Law Economics, 1968, (11): 55-65.
[3] J. Kraft, A. Kraft. On the Relationship between Energy and GNP [J]. Journal of Energy and Development, 1978,(3): 401-403.
[4] Lin, Bo qiang. An Econometric Analysis of Energy Demand in the Peoplés Republic of China [J]. Statistic Research,2001, (10): 34-39.
[5] M. Loeb, W.A. Magat. A Decentralized Method for Utility Regulation [J]. Journal of Law and Economics, 1979,(22): 399-404.
[6] F.R. Ramsey. A Contribution to the Theory of Taxation [J]. Economic Journal, 1927, (37): 47-61.
[7] V. Berg Sanford, John Tschirhart. Natural Monopoly Regulation [M]. Cambridge University Press, 1988.
[8] Severin Borenstein. The Trouble with Electricity Markets: Understanding California′s Restructuring Disaster [J].Journal of Economic Perspective Vol. 16, Winter, 2002, (1) .
[9] A. Shleifet. A Theory of Yardstick Competition [J]. Rand Journal of Economics, 1985, (16): 319-327.
[10] U. Soytas, R. Sari. Energy Consumption and GDP: Causality Relationship in G-7 Countries and Emerging Markets [J]. Energy Economic, 2003, (25): 33-37.
[11] D. I . Stren. Energy and Growth in the USA: A Multivariate Approach [J]. Energy Economic, 1993, (15):137-150.
[12] I. Vogelsang, J. Finsinger. A Regulatory Adjustment Process for Optimal Pricing by Multiproduct Monopoly Firms [J]. Bell Journal of Economics, 1979, (10): 157-171.
[13] H. Y. Yang. A Note on the Causal Relationship between Energy Consumption and GDP in Taiwan [Z]. Energy Economic, 2000.
[14] 丹尼尔·F·史普博.管制与市场[M].上海:上海三联出版社,1999.
[15] 刘树杰.垄断产业价格改革[M].北京:中国计划出版社,1999.
[16] 让·雅克·拉丰,让·蒂若尔.激励理论[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社,2002.
[17] 田国强.经济机制理论:信息效率与激励机制设计[J].经济学季刊,2003,(2).
[18] 王俊豪.政府管制经济学导论[M].北京:商务印书馆,2003.