经济理论与经济管理 ›› 2014, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (7): 23-33.

• 理论探索 • 上一篇    下一篇

加工贸易的本土增值
对人民币升值影响的放大效应

徐圆1,徐康宁2   

  1. 1南京财经大学江苏产业发展研究院,南京210003; 2东南大学经济与管理学院,南京210018
  • 收稿日期:2014-05-30 出版日期:2014-07-16 发布日期:2014-07-22
  • 作者简介:徐圆(1981—),女,江苏南京人,南京财经大学江苏产业发展研究院讲师,经济学博士; 徐康宁(1956—),男,江苏句容人,东南大学经济管理学院教授,博士生导师。
  • 基金资助:

    教育部人文社会科学基金项目(13YJC790170);江苏省社会科学基金项目(12EYC 012);江苏高校优势学科建设工程项目

THE AMPLIFICATION EFFECT OF PROCESSING TRADES DOMESTIC
 VALUE ADDED ON THE IMPACT OF RMB APPRECIATION

 XU  Yuan-1, XU  Kang-Ning-2   

  1. 1Institute of Jiangsu Industrial Development, Nanjing University of Finance & Economics, Nanjing 210003, China; 2School of Management and Economics, Southeast University, Nanjing 210018, China
  • Received:2014-05-30 Online:2014-07-16 Published:2014-07-22

摘要: 本文基于2001—2010年中国11个制造业的季度进出口贸易数据,利用面板DOLS方法,分析了人民币升值联合出口品本土增值对一般贸易与加工贸易的影响。研究结果表明,随着中国出口品本土增值度的提升,原本缺乏汇率弹性的加工贸易出口将变得敏感,而加工贸易进口由于与出口存在着“一对一”的关系,因而汇率弹性也表现出显著为负。加工贸易的本土增值将放大人民币有效升值对减少中国贸易顺差的作用,因此,加快国内技术进步,生产更加复杂的中间品,将适当缓解人民币“被迫”持续快速升值的压力。

关键词: 实际有效汇率 , 加工贸易 , 本土增值

Abstract: By using panel DOLS method with the quarter manufacture importexport data of China from 2001—2010, this paper analyzed the impact of the exports domestic valueadded combined RMB appreciation on the general trade and processing trade. The empirical results showed that with the exports domestic valueadded upgrading, the elasticity of exchange rate for processing trade export would become sensitive and processing trade import had a “onetoone” relationship with export so its flexibility of exchange rate was negative. The processing trades domestic valueadded would enlarge the function of RMB appreciation on reducing trade surplus. Therefore, speeding up technology progress, producing more complex intermediate goods would appropriately alleviate pressure on the forced and rapid appreciation of RMB.

Key words: real effective exchange rate , processing trade , domestic value-added