关键词: 人口老龄化 , 公共政策 , 结构效应

Abstract: Using the Chinese provincial panel data from 2001 to 2010, this paper analyzed the structural effects of local public policy in the framework of population aging. Research results showed that population aging generated some certain negative effects to local industrial restructuring function of public policy, which appeared in the primary industry and second industry. Government spending on education and health care investment was low, which limited the human capital stock increased, so that the negative effect of population aging was more significant. In addition, Chinese public revenue environment deeply affected the development of three industries, tax levels and taking turnover tax, while the main tax structure influenced the development of structural changes and internal quality improvement.

Key words: population aging , public policy , structural effect