经济理论与经济管理 ›› 2013, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (10): 28-37.

• 理论探索 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国经济发展指标和碳排放
指标的统一性分析

 周立群, 李伟华   

  1. 南开大学经济学院,天津300071
  • 收稿日期:2013-07-10 出版日期:2013-10-20 发布日期:2013-10-28
  • 作者简介:周立群(1951—),男,山东青岛人,南开大学经济学院教授,博士生导师,经济学博士; 李伟华(1985—),男,河北保定人,南开大学经济学院博士研究生。
  • 基金资助:

    国家社科基金重大项目“三次产业动态协同发展机制研究”阶段性成果(10ZD&027)

A UNIFORMITY ANALYSIS BETWEEN CHINA'S 2020 ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS AND CARBON EMISSION INDICATORS

 ZHOU  Li-Qun, LI  Wei-Hua   

  1. School of Economics, Nankai University, Tianjin 300071, China
  • Received:2013-07-10 Online:2013-10-20 Published:2013-10-28

摘要: 本文对我国经济发展指标和碳排放约束指标进行统一性分析检验,在扩展的新古典经济增长模型中引入碳排放约束因素,研究1978—2010年经济发展和碳排放间的数量关系,并得到了实现2020年经济发展指标的最大碳排放量。本文研究发现,经济发展指标和碳排放约束指标具有统一性,即2020年完成人均GDP发展指标的情况下能够实现碳排放约束指标,同样在完成碳排放约束指标情况下也能实现人均GDP发展指标。

关键词: 经济增长 , 碳排放 , 碳剩余

Abstract: The paper makes a uniformity analysis between China's 2020 Economic Development Indicators and Carbon Emission Indicators. We introduce the constraints of carbon emissions into the expansion of the neoclassical economic growth model to study the quantitative relationship between economic development and carbon emissions between 1978 and 2010, and we also get the largest emissions in 2020. The study found that in 2020 we can achieve the goal of carbon emission constraints when we achieve the goals of real GDP per capita. Similarly, in 2020 we achieve the goals of real GDP per capita when we can achieve the goals of carbon emission constraints.

Key words: economic growth , carbon emission , carbon surplus