经济理论与经济管理 ›› 2002, Vol. ›› Issue (2): 9-15.

• 专稿 • 上一篇    下一篇

2002年世界经济形势与中国的对策

杜厚文1, 伞锋2   

  1. 1. 中国人民大学经济学院 北京100872;
    2. 国家信息中心 北京100045
  • 收稿日期:2001-12-19 出版日期:2002-02-16 发布日期:2012-03-01

WORLD ECONOMIC SITUATION IN 2002 AND COUNTERMEASURES BY CHINA

DU Hou-wen1, SAN Feng2   

  1. 1. Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, China;
    2. State Information Center, Beijing 100045, China
  • Received:2001-12-19 Online:2002-02-16 Published:2012-03-01

摘要: 2001年世界经济陷入了30年来最严重的衰退。这次衰退是继多年经济繁荣后的“硬着陆”,衰退导致世界经济增长曲线呈现“U”字型。从全球主要经济机构的预测结果看,2002年世界经济前景依然黯淡。世界经济的复苏,取决于美国经济的复苏,而美国经济复苏主要依靠扩张性政策的拉动,是政策导向型的复苏。面对严峻的外部经济环境,2002年中国经济要实现7%以上的增长,在立足于内需的同时,应对对外经济政策做适当的调整。

关键词: 世界经济, 衰退, 新经济, 信息技术产品, 经济复苏

Abstract: In 2001, world economy ran into the deepest recession since the latest 30 years, which was "hard landing" after boom for many years and led to the "U" type curve of world economic growth. According to the predictions from the world primary organizations, the year of 2002 would see all the same gloomy world economy. The recovery of world economy depends on that of American economy, which mainly pulled by expansionary policies. Facing such external adverse situations, in order to achieve more than 7% of economic growth in 2002, China should adjust foreign economic policies besides relying on the domestic demand.

Key words: world economy, recession, new economy, info-technical product, economic recovery

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