经济理论与经济管理 ›› 2024, Vol. 44 ›› Issue (9): 1-16.

• 高质量发展之路:深入学习党的二十届三中全会精神 •    下一篇

基于国际比较的我国经济高质量发展水平评估

  

  1. 黄泰岩,中央民族大学中国兴边富民战略研究院;姜伟(通讯作者),中央民族大学经济学院
  • 出版日期:2024-09-16 发布日期:2024-11-18
  • 基金资助:
    本文得到国家社科基金青年项目(21CJL027)的资助。

Evaluation of the High-quality Development Level of China's Economy Based on International Comparison

  1. 1 China Institute for Vitalizing Border Areas and Enriching the People,Minzu University of China;
    2 School of Economics,Minzu University of China
  • Online:2024-09-16 Published:2024-11-18

摘要: 党的二十届三中全会对进一步全面深化改革推进高质量发展作出了新阐释新部署。依据党的二十届三中全会对推进经济高质量发展内涵的新概括,从新质生产力、数实融合、服务业高质量发展、现代化基础设施建设、产业链供应链韧性和安全5个维度构建了新的我国经济高质量发展水平评价指标体系。针对已有文献主要以国内为参照进行评价的不足,依据我国到2035年人均GDP达到中等发达国家水平的经济现代化发展目标,选取欧盟27国相应指标的平均数为国际参照,利用交叉熵无偏赋权法,对我国经济高质量发展水平进行评估。评估发现:2012—2021年,得益于我国在新质生产力、数实融合、现代化基础设施建设方面取得的长足进步,以及不断增强的产业链供应链韧性和安全水平,我国经济高质量发展水平得到显著提升,2021年达到了6792%,日益接近欧盟27国的平均水平。但要实现2035年发展规划目标,还需要针对已有的短板和弱项,进一步加快推进创新发展、绿色发展和人才强国建设。


关键词: 经济高质量发展, 国际比较, 评价指标体系, 水平评估

Abstract: The Third Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China made a comprehensive deployment to improve the institutional mechanism to promote highquality economic development from the new perspective of further deepening reform comprehensively to advance Chinese modernization and made a new summary of connotation of Chinas highquality economic development Therefore,based on the new summary of the Third Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China on the highquality economic development,an evaluation index system should be built and used to find the shortcomings and weaknesses in promoting Chinas highquality economic development,accurately promote the economic system reform and the corresponding resource optimization and adjustment,accelerate the process of highquality economic development of China,which is of great significance to achieve the goal of Chinese modernization 
According to the new explanations of the Third Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China on the connotation of promoting highquality economic development,this paper builds an evaluation index system of highquality development level of Chinas economy from five dimensions of new quality productive forces,digital and real integration,highquality development of the service industry,modern infrastructure construction,and the resilience and safety of industrial and supply chains The average of corresponding indicators from the 27 EU countries is selected as the international reference,and unbiased weighting method based on cross entropy is used to evaluate the highquality development level of Chinas economy The evaluation found that from 2012 to 2021,due to the significant progress made by China in new quality productive forces,digital and real integration,and modern infrastructure construction,as well as the continuously enhanced resilience and safety level of industrial and supply chains,the highquality development level of Chinas economy has been significantly improved,reaching 6792% in 2021,approaching the average level of the 27 EU countries
To achieve the development goals by 2035,in view of the existing shortcomings and weaknesses,China needs to accelerate the promotion of selfreliance and strength in science and technology,strengthen the primary driving force for the highquality development of Chinas economy;accelerate the transformation of energy structure and reduce the dependence of economic development on nonrenewable resources;strengthen the construction of talent teams and deeply implement the strategy on developing a quality workforce


Key words: high-quality economic development, international comparison, evaluation index system, level evaluation