经济理论与经济管理 ›› 2023, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (7): 60-73.

• • 上一篇    下一篇

发达国家标准下我国中等收入群体规模及成长路径

  

  1. 1  中国发展研究基金会;   2  哥德堡大学社会工作系;   3  西安大略大学经济学院。
  • 出版日期:2023-07-16 发布日期:2023-08-11

THE SIZE AND GROWTH PATH OF CHINESE MIDDLE-INCOME GROUP UNDER THE STANDARDS OF DEVELOPED COUNTRIES

  1. 1China Development Research Foundation;
    2Department of Social Work,University of Gothenburg;
    3Department of Economics,University of Western Ontario
  • Online:2023-07-16 Published:2023-08-11

摘要: 扩大中等收入群体是推动实现共同富裕的应有之义。本文使用“欧盟28国2018年收入中位数的60%与200%”作为界定中等收入群体的上下限,从国际视角分析了我国中等收入群体的规模及成长路径。研究发现,我国中等收入群体规模增长迅速,从2002年的不到1%增长到2018年的24.7%,人数约相当于欧盟所有国家中等收入群体人数总和、美国当年总人口。与几个大型中等收入国家相比,近20年唯有我国的中等收入群体比重一直保持高速增长。与发达国家相比,我国中等收入群体比重仍偏低,还处于“人均GDP”与“中等收入群体比重”双低的爬坡阶段。不同户籍类型的人群成为中等收入者的路径明显不同,户籍类型、父母的就业和受教育水平、出生地等个人无法控制的出生背景,对一个人成为中等收入者的概率有较大影响。未来应尤为关注那些出生背景不利者,为他们进入中等收入行列提供畅通渠道和适当支持。


关键词: 中等收入群体, 发达国家标准, 国际比较, 成长路径

Abstract: nlarging the size of middle-income group is the proper meaning of promoting common prosperity This paper uses 60% and 200% of the median income of 28 EU countries as the lower and upper cutoffs to define Chinese middleincome group and analyzes its size and growth path from an international perspective The results show that the size of middleincome group in China has grown rapidly,from less than 1% in 2002 to 247% in 2018,and its number is similar to the total number of middleincome group in 28 EU countries and similar to the total population of the United States in that year In the past 20 years,among several major middleincome countries,only the size of middleincome group in China has maintained rapid growth Compared with developed countries,the proportion of middleincome group in China is still low,and it is still in the climbing stage of “GDP per capita” and “the proportion of middleincome group” The birth background beyond personal control,such as Hukou type,parents employment and education level,and place of birth,has a significant impact on a persons probability of being middleincome group In the future,we should pay special attention to those who are born in disadvantaged backgrounds and provide them with smooth channels to enter the middleincome group


Key words:  , middle-income group, standards of developed countries, international comparison, growth path