经济理论与经济管理 ›› 2023, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (1): 44-59.

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城商行跨区域经营再思考——基于跨省份禁令的新证据

  

  1. 中国人民大学财政金融学院
  • 出版日期:2023-01-16 发布日期:2023-02-09

THE CROSS-REGIONAL OPERATION OF CITY COMMERCIAL BANKS-——A New Evidence Based on the Cross-provincial Injunction

  1. School of Finance,Renmin University of China
  • Online:2023-01-16 Published:2023-02-09

摘要: 本文基于手工搜集2007—2019年我国101家实现了跨区域经营的城商行数据,研究了在2011年跨省份扩张禁令前后,城商行跨区经营的动因及其对风险绩效产生的影响。省、市两级政府财政压力通过影响城商行的跨区经营决策,而间接作用于其经营状况。2011年之后城商行省份内扩张速度明显加快。在考虑到自选择偏差、机制检验和中介效应的基础上,本文研究表明跨区域经营效果在禁令前后以及银行自身特征上具有显著的异质性。禁令颁布后城商行整体风险管理和盈利能力有明显改善。但对于禁令后继续省份内扩张的城商行而言,地方经济发展水平或自身业务拓展实力较弱的银行常面临不良率的大幅上升和资产回报率的显著下降。而实力较强的城商行却几乎可以完全抵消扩张带来的负面影响。本文对于理解城商行经营行为以及防范化解银行系统风险具有重要启示。

关键词: 跨省份禁令, 跨区域经营, 城商行, 风险绩效

Abstract: Based on hand-collected data of 101 city commercial banks (CCBs)that have achieved cross-regional operation in China from 2007 to 2019,this paper studies the motivation of cross-regional operation of CCBs and its impact on bank performance before and after the ban on cross-provincial expansion in 2011The fiscal pressure of local governments has promoted CCBs' cross-regional operation within the province,and the speed of within-province expansion accelerated significantly after 2011Accounting for the self-selection bias,mechanism test and mediation effect,our analysis shows that the effect of cross-regional operation has significant temporal and cross-sectional heterogeneityAfter the promulgation of the injunction,the overall risk management and profitability of CCBs have significantly improvedHowever,for CCBs that continue to expand within the province after the ban,banks located in less developed cities or banks with weaker expansion strength often face a sharp rise in non-performing loan rate and a significant decline in return on assetsMeanwhile,stronger CCBs can almost completely offset the negative impact of the expansionThis paper offers rich insights for understanding the operation of CCBs and for preventing and resolving the risk of the banking system

Key words: cross-provincial injunction, cross-regional operation, city commercial bank, bank performance