经济理论与经济管理 ›› 2023, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (1): 30-43.

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去工业化、经济增长与区域协调发展*——基于土地资源错配的视角

  

  1. 1  中国社会科学院社会发展战略研究院;   2  中央财经大学财经研究院;   3  中央财经大学经济学院。
  • 出版日期:2023-01-16 发布日期:2023-02-09
  • 基金资助:
    本文得到教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目“中国经济发展新常态的内涵、特征及其演变逻辑研究”(15JZD011)、国家社会科学基金重大项目“中国特色社会主义政治经济学体系中的国家理论研究”(19ZDA057)、中央财经大学2020年一流学科建设项目“中国企业海外投资特征、异质性与绩效”(2020020)的资助。

DEINDUSTRIALIZATION,ECONOMIC GROWTH AND REGIONAL COORDINATED DEVELOPMENT——Evidence from the Perspective of Land Resource Misallocation

  1. 1.National Institute of Social Development,Chinese Academy of Social Science;
    2 .Institute of Finance and Economics,Central University of Finance and Economics;
    3.School of Economics,Central University of Finance and Economics
  • Online:2023-01-16 Published:2023-02-09

摘要: 针对我国近年来的“去工业化”现象,本文通过280座城市的面板数据,以及城市地形和省级审批建设用地占比构造的工具变量,从土地资源错配视角考察了去工业化对经济增长和区域协调发展的影响。实证结果发现,在当前经济发展阶段工业化对经济增长仍然具有显著的积极影响,过快、过早地去工业化不利于保持经济持续增长和实现区域协调发展,而土地资源在地区间和部门间的双重错配是导致我国出现过早去工业化的重要原因。进一步的分析表明,较高的城镇化水平以及发达的生产性服务业有助于增强工业化对经济增长的推动效应。本文为新时期保持制造业比重基本稳定,推动我国经济持续稳定增长,推进区域协调发展以及促进土地资源优化配置提供了经验证据。

关键词: 去工业化, 经济增长, 区域协调发展, 土地资源错配

Abstract: Noticing China's rapid deindustrialization phenomenon in recent decades,this paper uses the panel data of 280 prefecturallevel cities and the instrument variable made up by cities' terrain and provincial shares of construction land quota to estimate the influence of deindustrialization on economic growth and regional coordinated development from the perspective of land resource misallocationEmpirical results show that the industrial sector has still positive effect on economic growth significantly at the present stage of economic development,and rapid and premature deindustrialization is not conductive to maintaining continuous economic growth and achieving regional coordinated development,while the dual misallocation of land resource across regions and across sectors is a substantial factor resulting in China's premature deindustrializationFurther analyses present that high urbanization level and developed producer services help to reinforce the promoting effect of industrialization on economic growthThis paper provides evidences for keeping the proportion of manufacture industry stable basically,propelling China's sustained and steady economic growth,promoting regional coordinated development,and optimizing the allocation of land resource

Key words: deindustrialization, economic growth, regional coordinated development, land resource misallocation