经济理论与经济管理

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中国农村人口贫困变动研究*——基于多维脱贫指数测度

蒋南平1,郑万军2   

  1. 蒋南平,西南财经大学经济学院;郑万军,浙江财经大学经济学院经济行为与决策研究中心。
  • 出版日期:2019-02-16 发布日期:2019-02-18

POVERTY CHANGE OF RURAL POPULATION IN CHINA——Based on the Multidimensional Index of Shaking off Poverty#br#

JIANG Nanping1,ZHENG Wanjun2   

  1. 1School of Economics, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics;
    2School of Economics, Zhejiang University of Finance and Economics
  • Online:2019-02-16 Published:2019-02-18

摘要:

本文通过多维贫困识别方法构建相应指数,提出了在返贫和脱贫不同方向上对多维贫困的变动进行分解的思路。同时,用2010—2014年中国家庭追踪调查数据对中国农村人口多维贫困的变动进行了分解,得出以下结论:第一,收入依然是农村人口多维贫困的主要维度,但在改善收入贫困的同时应该防范健康维度返贫的风险。第二,农村人口的多维贫困状况在不断改善,但是由于返贫的影响,脱贫的效果受到了较大削弱,因此在注重脱贫的同时,不应忽视返贫的风险。第三,持续贫困人口贫困状况虽然后来有所改善,但是2012年的恶化状况提示我们对于暂时未能脱贫的人口,还需要采取措施缓解其贫困状况。

关键词: 农村人口 , 多维贫困变动 , 多维脱贫指数

Abstract:

Based on the index of multidimensional poverty and out of poverty, a shaking off multidimensional poverty recognition method and index is built, and further
multidimensional poverty decompose in the direction of sinking back to poverty and shaking off poverty is raised. At the same time, China rural population multidimensional poverty, sinking back to poverty and shaking off poverty are measured and decomposed by using Chinese family panel studies. We get the following conclusions. Firstly, the income of the rural population is still the main dimension of multidimensional poverty, but attentions should be paid to prevent health dimensions sinking back to poverty. Secondly, the multidimensional poverty situation of the rural population is improved, but due to the influence of sinking back to poverty, shaking off poverty effect has been greatly weakened, so the risk of sinking back to poverty should not be ignored. Thirdly, the worsening situation of the continued poverty population in 2012 suggests that measures should be taken to alleviate the poverty situation for those temporarily unable to shake off poverty.

Key words: rural population , multidimensional poverty change , multidimensional poverty index of shaking off poverty