经济理论与经济管理

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信息化提高了经济的全要素生产率吗*——来自中国1979—2014年分行业面板数据的证据

孙早,刘李华#br#   

  1. 西安交通大学经济与金融学院
  • 出版日期:2018-05-16 发布日期:2018-05-22

DOES INFORMATIZATION IMPROVE THE TFP OF CHINESE ECONOMY——Evidence from Chinas 1979—2014 Sectorial Panel Data

SUN Zao,LIU Lihua#br#   

  1. School of Economics and Finance,Xian Jiaotong University
  • Online:2018-05-16 Published:2018-05-22

摘要: 本文测算了1979—2014年中国分行业ICT资本存量、非ICT资本存量和全要素生产率,研究了信息化对全要素生产率的影响。本文发现:(1)信息化对全要素生产率有显著的促进作用。特别是当信息化与国民经济中的资本深化相伴时,实体经济发展水平越高,信息化的贡献越大。(2)市场化程度提高能够进一步释放信息化带来的“创造性破坏”效应,从而显著增强信息化对TFP的积极影响。(3)人均受教育程度越高,信息化对全要素生产率的贡献越大。本文的结论具有深刻的政策含义:在加大ICT资本投入、促进信息化水平不断提高的同时,需要更加注重诸多互补性条件的配套实施,进一步提升工业化水平,扩大机器设备在固定资产投资中的比重,加快推进市场化改革,提高人力资本水平,特别是高端人才的培养是充分发挥信息化积极作用的基础和保障。

关键词: 信息化 , 全要素生产率 , 资本深化 , 市场化 , 人力资本

Abstract: In the era of network economy,the level of informatization usually determines the competitiveness and development level of a countryThe effective exertion of informatization to national economy must be matched with a series of complementary investment,market reform and hightech talentsThis paper calculates the ICT capital stock,nonICT capital stock and TFP of Chinas industries in 1979—2014,and studies the impact of informatization on TFPThis paper finds as followsFirst,informatization has a significant positive effect on TFP,especially when it is accompanied by capital deepeningThat is,the higher the level of real economy development,the greater the contribution of informatization Second,the improvement of marketization can further release the “creative destruction” effect brought by informatization,thus enhancing the positive impact of informatization on TFP significantlyThird,the higher per capita education level,the greater contribution of informatization to TFPThe conclusion of this paper has profound policy implicationWhile increasing the investment of ICT capital and improving the level of informatization,we need to pay more attention to the implementation of complementary conditionsFurther upgrading the level of industrialization,expanding the proportion of machine equipment in fixed assets investment,speeding up the marketization reform,raising the level of human capital,especially the cultivation of highend talents is the basis and guarantee to give full play to the positive role of informatization

Key words: informationization , TFP , capital deepening , marketization , human capital