经济理论与经济管理

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我国改革的周期性变化规律及新时代价值*

黄泰岩   

  1. Minzu University of China
  • 出版日期:2018-11-16 发布日期:2018-11-19
  • 作者简介:黄泰岩,中央民族大学校长、教授、博士生导师,中国人民大学中国经济改革与发展研究院教授、博士生导师、中国民营企业研究中心主任,邮政编码:100081。

THE CYCLICAL CHANGE LAW OF CHINAS REFORM AND ITS VALUE IN THE NEW ERA

中央民族大   

  • Online:2018-11-16 Published:2018-11-19

摘要:

本文通过回顾中国改革40年历程发现,改革呈现出明显的周期性变化规律,出现了一个中周期和三个短周期。改革周期性变化规律形成的根本原因是,改革作为生产关系的变革和调整,必须遵循生产关系适应生产力发展变化而变化的运动规律,再加之我国改革采取了渐进式改革的方式,这就使生产关系的变化具有了阶段性特征,并引起了生产力发展的阶段性变化,形成了改革周期与经济周期的高度吻合。改革的周期性变化规律对于新时代全面深化改革具有重要的意义:经济面临下行压力,恰是改革最佳窗口期;改革进入新周期,才能孕育经济运行新周期;激发人民的改革激情与活力,才能推动改革周期性运动;加强顶层设计,才能推动改革全面深化。

关键词: 改革 , 周期性变化规律 , 新时代的全面深化改革

Abstract:

By reviewing the 40year history of Chinas reform, this paper finds that the reform shows an obvious cyclical change law, and there is a medium cycle and three short cycles. The fundamental reason for the reform of the cyclical change law is that as the adjustment of the production relationship, the reform must follow the law of change in the production relations to adapt to the changes in the development of productive forces. In addition, Chinas reform adopts a gradual reform approach, which makes the changes of production relationship have phased features, and it causes the phased change of productivity development, which forms a high degree of consistency between the reform cycle and the economic cycle. The cyclical change law of reform is of great significance for comprehensively deepening reform in the new era: the downward pressure on the economy is precisely the best window for reform; the reform enters the new cycle, which can breed a new cycle of economic operation; and stimulate the peoples reform passion and vitality. In order to promote the reform of the cyclical movement; strengthen the toplevel design, in order to promote the comprehensive deepening of reform.

Key words: cyclical change law , comprehensive deepening of reform in the new era