经济理论与经济管理

• 公共经济 • 上一篇    下一篇

环境规制与污染避难所效应*——基于中国省际数据的面板门槛回归分析

惠炜,赵国庆   

  1. 中国人民大学经济学院
  • 出版日期:2017-02-16 发布日期:2017-02-21
  • 基金资助:
    本文得到中国人民大学2015年度拔尖创新人才培育资助计划的资助。

ENVIRONMENTAL REGULATION AND POLLUTION HAVEN——An Empirical Analysis Based on Panel Threshold Regression of Chinese Provincial Data

HUI Wei,ZHAO Guo-qing   

  1. School of Economics, Renmin University of China
  • Online:2017-02-16 Published:2017-02-21

摘要: 本文在扩展环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)方程的基础上,利用2000—2013年间中国30个省、自治区和直辖市的工业废水、工业二氧化硫、工业烟(粉)尘排放量构建环境污染强度、环境规制强度指标,采用面板门槛回归方法,分析环境规制强度对中国各地区环境污染强度的影响以及环境污染避难所假说在中国各地区是否存在。环境规制强度为门槛变量的实证结果表明加强环境规制强度能够显著地降低环境污染强度,中国的外商直接投资和出口贸易所存在的污染避难所效应除了与不同的污染排放物有关以外,还与实行不同环境规制强度的地区有关,且这两者之间并不存在单一的一致关系。本文还发现中国各地区人均GDP与环境污染之间存在U型关系,虽然目前仍有部分地区的环境污染强度会随地区人均GDP水平的提高而降低,但多数地区处于拐点右侧,因此对环境污染物的强化治理依旧刻不容缓。

关键词: 环境规制 , 污染避难所 , 面板门槛回归

Abstract: The paper examines the relationship between environmental regulation, environmental pollution and the existence of pollution haven hypothesis in Chinas province level based on the environmental Kuznets curve framework, by using the data of industrial waste water, industrial sulfur dioxide, industrial smoke (powder) dust emissions of Chinas 30 provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities to construct the environmental pollution intensity index and environmental regulation intensity index during 2010—2013, and adapting the panel threshold regression method The empirical analysis results suggest environmental regulation enforcement can reduce environmental pollution significantly Not only does the effects of pollution havens on foreign direct investment and export in China are related to different pollutant, but there is no monotone relationship between environmental regulation and environmental pollution in different environmental regulation implement and environmental pollution intensity provinces The results also show that there is a Ushaped relationship between environmental pollution and the provincial GDP per capita, which suggests that though it reduces along with the increase of the provincial GDP per capita, the strengthening of environmental pollution control is still urgent, since the environmental pollution level approaches its inflexion point now.

Key words: environmental regulation , pollution haven , panel threshold regression