高校扩招与大学教育回报率变动*——基于CGSS数据的经验研究

经济理论与经济管理

高校扩招与大学教育回报率变动*——基于CGSS数据的经验研究

马汴京1,蔡海静1,姚先国2

1 浙江财经大学； 2 浙江大学劳动保障与社会政策研究中心。

出版日期:2016-06-16 发布日期:2016-06-20
基金资助:
本文得到了浙江财经大学数量经济学重点学科课题的资助。

HIGHER EDUCATION EXPANSION, ABILITY HETEROGENEITY AND RETURN TO HIGHER EDUCATION——Evidences from CGSS

MA Bian-jing1,CAI Hai-jing1,YAO Xian-guo2

1Zhejiang University of Finance & Economics; 2Zhejiang University

Online:2016-06-16 Published:2016-06-20

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

利用中国社会综合调查数据，本文定量评估了高校扩招对大学教育回报率的异质性干预效应。基于“反事实”和“局部干预效应”的思想，将大学毕业生区分为扩招前不能升学扩招后却可考上大学者和即使没有发生扩招也能升学者。研究发现：高校扩招使前者收入增长了约40%，且并未明显削弱后者收入优势。这一结论在男女样本间存在明显差异，有必要通过推进高中教育质量均等化等措施保障弱势群体的高等教育权益，使扩招“红利”惠及社会每个阶层。

关键词: 高校扩招 , 教育回报率 , 局部干预效应

Abstract:

Using data from CGSS, this paper quantitatively examines the heterogeneous treatment effect of higher education expansion (HEE) on return to higher education between treated groupsFirst, under conceptual framework of the counterfactual and local average treatment effect, we identify different treatment groups whose educational achievement was affected by HEE: nevertakers， compliers and alwaystakersThe results show that: for compilers, its revenue grew by about 40%; for alwaystakers, the advantages of revenue was not significantly weakened; enrollment policy effects of heterogeneity university education significantly different rates of return between men and women in the sampleIt is necessary to equalize the quality of education, expand student loans benefit from measures to protect vulnerable groups, such as surface rights of higher education.

Key words: HEE , returns to higher education LATE

马汴京1,蔡海静1,姚先国2. 高校扩招与大学教育回报率变动*——基于CGSS数据的经验研究[J]. 经济理论与经济管理.

MA Bian-jing1,CAI Hai-jing1,YAO Xian-guo2. HIGHER EDUCATION EXPANSION, ABILITY HETEROGENEITY AND RETURN TO HIGHER EDUCATION——Evidences from CGSS[J]. Economic Theory and Business Management.