关键词: 乘数效应 , 两部门经济增长 , 2SLS估计 , GMM估计 , 分位数回归

Abstract: This paper based on the two sector economic growth model to test the spillover effects of industrial and agriculturalIt is found that the industrial sector has the advantage of resource allocation because of the advantages of its productivity, spillover effect, but the underdevelopment of agriculture will also limit the expansion of industrial resources allocationThe whole social economic growth is affected by industrial growth, industrial and agricultural spillover effects, and agricultural growthTherefore, there is a need for industrial and agricultural cooperative developmentWe use the method of 2SLS estimation, GMM estimation and quantile regression robustness test.

Key words: multiplier effect , two sector economic growth , 2SLS estimation , GMM estimation , Quantile regression