关键词: 老龄化 , 社保缴费能力和负担 , 企业诞生

Abstract:

This paper analyzed the changes of the aging and the elderly dependency ratio in different economic regions, and found that the aging showed a downward trend in economically developed areas. This paper estimated the enterprises biggest social security payment ability and payment burden of the different provinces, and found that the burden of social security contributions in Chinese enterprises were still overweight.This paper applied the negative binomial distribution model and empirically analyzed the factors influencing the number of the establishment of different industries in different provinces, also found that the ability of social security contribution had a positive effect,and social security burden had a negative effect on the number of establishment, both the effect are statistically significant but less influential. Based on those empirical results, this paper put forward policy recommendations about division of social security burden between state, enterprises and individuals reasonably.

Key words: the aging , social security payment ability and burden , establishment of enterprise