THE GRAVITY SHIFT OF REGIONAL 
ECONOMIES AND TRENDS OF EQUALIZATION IN CHINA

Economic Theory and Business Management ›› 2013, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (12): 101-109.

THE GRAVITY SHIFT OF REGIONAL
ECONOMIES AND TRENDS OF EQUALIZATION IN CHINA

HU An-Jun, LIU Yuan-Chun

School of Economics, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, China

Received:2013-07-10 Online:2013-12-20 Published:2013-12-16

中国区域经济重心漂移与均衡化走势

胡安俊, 刘元春

中国人民大学经济学院，北京100872

作者简介:胡安俊（1984—），男，山东淄博人，中国人民大学经济学院博士后，讲师，经济学博士；刘元春（1972—），男，四川大竹人，中国人民大学经济学院教授，副院长，教育部长江学者特聘教授，经济学博士。
基金资助:
中国博士后基金项目（2013M530789）；国家社科基金重大项目（10ZD&023）

Abstract

Abstract: Adjusting spatial structure is an important way to optimize factor allocation and reduce regional disparities. Using the models of gravity and gravity division, this paper analyzes the evolution of regional economies gravities during 19902012, and finds that 2003/2004 is the turning point of this process. The gravities of regional economies are shifting to the central and western regions since 2003/2004. The effects of government intervention on the shift of gravity are reducing since 2003, while human capital becomes a new force driving the shift of gravity. The evolution of gravities looks like a flyinggeese pattern which is composed of investment, GDP, trade and consumption.

Key words: gravity of economies , model of gravity division , shift of flying-geese , equalization

摘要： 调整国土空间结构是优化要素配置、促进区域协调的重要途径。本文运用重心模型和重心分解模型对中国区域经济重心的演化进行了分析与验证。结果表明：2003年和2004年是中国区域经济空间格局演变的转折时期，在此之后中国区域经济重心走向均衡化。在驱动机制上，2003年之后政府干预的作用趋于减弱，人力资本成为驱动经济重心向中西部漂移的新力量。在演化力度与演化次序上，固定资产投资、GDP、进出口总额和消费重心构成了雁阵漂移模式。

关键词: 经济重心 , 重心分解模型 , 雁阵漂移 , 均衡化

HU An-Jun, LIU Yuan-Chun. THE GRAVITY SHIFT OF REGIONAL
ECONOMIES AND TRENDS OF EQUALIZATION IN CHINA[J]. Economic Theory and Business Management, 2013, 33(12): 101-109.

胡安俊, 刘元春. 中国区域经济重心漂移与均衡化走势[J]. 经济理论与经济管理, 2013, 33(12): 101-109.

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