EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN ECONOMIC GLOBALIZATION AND CHINESE ECONOMIC GROWTH: THE TIME-VARYING CHARACTERISTIC AND ITS CAUSE

Abstract

Abstract: By empirical analysis,the following conclusions are advanced:(1) from 1978 to 2002,there is no significant relationship between globalization and Chinese economic growth;(2)in the 1980s,economic globalization significantly promote the increase of K/L and TFP in China,and then promote economic growth in China;but in the 1990s sample,the influence is not significant;(3)the time-varying characteristic of the relationship between economic globalization and Chinese economic growth is due to the transformation of Chinese economic growth period and model.

Key words: economic globalization, economic growth, empirical analysis, time-varying characteristic

摘要： 通过对全球化和中国经济增长关系的实证分析,可以发现:(1)在1978—2002年的长周期样本中,经济全球化对中国经济增长的影响不显著;(2)在20世纪80年代,经济全球化推动了中国资本—劳动比和TFP的提高,进而推动中国的经济增长,20世纪90年代以后,这种影响逐步消失;(3)经济全球化与中国经济增长关系的"时变特征"源于中国经济增长阶段和增长模式的变化。

关键词: 经济全球化, 中国经济增长, 实证分析, 时变特征

CLC Number:

F224

YU Chun-hai. EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN ECONOMIC GLOBALIZATION AND CHINESE ECONOMIC GROWTH: THE TIME-VARYING CHARACTERISTIC AND ITS CAUSE[J]. Economic Theory and Business Management, 2006, (1): 11-17.

于春海. 全球化和中国经济增长关系的实证分析[J]. 经济理论与经济管理, 2006, (1): 11-17.

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