经济理论与经济管理 ›› 2024, Vol. 44 ›› Issue (10): 12-31.

• 高质量发展之路:深入学习党的二十届三中全会精神 • 上一篇    下一篇

数字经济、供应链溢出效应与企业成长

  

  1. 方福前、杨宏(通讯作者),中国人民大学经济学院;陈光兴,中信建投证券股份有限公司。
  • 出版日期:2024-10-16 发布日期:2024-12-20
  • 基金资助:
    本文得到教育部哲学社会科学研究重大专项一般项目“构建中国自主的西方经济学知识体系研究”(2023JZDZ028)的资助。

Digital Technology,Supply Chain Spillover Effects and Enterprise Growth

  1. 1 School of Economics,Renmin University of China;
    2 China Securities
  • Online:2024-10-16 Published:2024-12-20

摘要: 数字技术是新质生产力的主要技术基础,建立在数字技术基础上的数字经济正深刻改变着中国经济运行方式和经济发展质量。本文主要研究推进地区层面数字经济发展对供应链产生的溢出效应以及对企业成长的影响。首先构建一个包含投入产出关系的两部门一般均衡模型,分别探讨了推进客户或供应商所在地区数字经济发展对企业成长的影响及作用机制,据此提出了可用于实证检验的理论模型和机制假说。研究发现:(1)推进客户或者供应商所在地区数字经济发展显著促进了企业成长,数字经济的供应链溢出效应对企业成长贡献率约为1/5。推进客户所在地区数字经济发展,主要通过提高上游企业全要素生产率和缓解融资约束两个机制,促进上游企业成长;而推进供应商所在地区数字经济发展,仅通过提高下游企业全要素生产率而促进下游企业成长。(2)异质性分析表明数字经济的供应链溢出效应在非国有企业、位于中西部地区的企业以及外部环境不确定的企业中更为明显。(3)进一步研究发现,由于数字技术缩短了时空距离,推进地理距离较远的客户和供应商所在地区数字经济发展,更有利于上下游企业成长。本文为数字经济时代如何完善产业链供应链建设,促进新质生产力发展和中国式现代化提供了理论支持和政策参考。


关键词: 数字经济, 数字技术, 供应链溢出效应, 企业成长

Abstract: Digital technology profoundly changes the real economy,which is worth further studying whether there is a supply chain spillover effect when local governments and other economic entities promote the digital economy development This article constructs a twosector general equilibrium model with inputoutput relationships to explore the impact and mechanism of promoting digital technology development of regions where customers and suppliers are located on enterprises outputs Based on this,we propose theoretical models and hypothetical mechanisms used for empirical testing 
The results show that:(1) Promoting the digital economy in customer or supplier regions significantly boosts enterprise growth,with supply chain spillover effects contributing about 20% The mechanism lies in that digital economic development in customer regions mainly improves enterprise total factor productivity and alleviates financing constraints,thereby driving enterprise output growth,while the level of digital economic development in supplier regions only improves enterprise total factor productivity and drives output growth (2) Heterogeneity analysis shows that the supply chain spillover effect of digital technology is more evident in nonstateowned enterprises,midwestern enterprises,and enterprises with uncertain external environments (3) Further research finds that digital technology shortens the spatial distance,and the further away the geographical distance between upstream and downstream enterprises,the more significant the role of digital technology 
This study provides policy references for how to improve the supply chain construction in the digital economy era and promote highquality economic developmentOn one hand,it is imperative to encourage suppliers to advance digital technological innovation and application,facilitating the structural upgrade of intermediate products and precisely uncovering market demands On the other hand,it is crucial to guide customers in overcoming information barriers at various stages,ensuring timely feedback on input demand fluctuations,thereby achieving resource sharing among enterprises along the supply chain


Key words: digital economic, digital technologies, supply chain spillover effects, enterprise growth