关键词: 中国经济, 宏观调控, 经济复苏, 风险挑战, 增长预测

Abstract: 2023 is a year when the impact of the epidemic subsides and the economic order returns to normal The core task of Chinas economy is to achieve macroeconomic recovery growth and deep restoration of micro foundations，and then return to the track of expansionary growth Unlike previous economic cycles，after three years of epidemic control，this round of Chinas economic recovery needs to go through three different stages：social order and transaction repair stage，balance sheet repair stage，and normalization expansion stage Moreover，there may be obstacles in the transition of stages At present，Chinas economic recovery is in a critical period of transition from the first stage to the second stage This is not only a period of restorative growth in Chinas economic recovery，but also a period of concentrated outbreaks of various potential risks and contradictions This report analyzes and predicts the macroeconomic trend of China in 2023，evaluates the outstanding difficulties and risk challenges faced during the recovery process，and proposes relevant policy recommendations based on this

Key words: China's economy, macroeconomic regulation, economic recovery, risks and challenges, growth forecast