关键词: 2020年中国宏观经济, 新冠肺炎疫情, 经济复苏, 宏观调控

Abstract: 2020 is destined to be a very special year in the economic history of China and the world. The COVID19 epidemic has caused a major shock to China's macroeconomic operation and micro market players. The global trade and economic system have undergone the most serious “stop” since World War II. The main contents of this paper include two aspects: one is to assess the basic trend and recovery potential of China's economy under the impact of super epidemic situation; the other is to provide applicable policy suggestions for post epidemic economic recovery as well as mediumterm and longterm development based on the above assessment. This paper focuses on four core issues: first, the progress and nature of China's economic recovery at this stage; second, the main challenges and risks of China's economic recovery in the next stage; third, how to scientifically arrange a package of largescale policies and tools to produce ideal policy effects; fourth, whether the existing policy space is sufficient to cope with various risks and challenges, enhance resilience and achieve the foundation rebuilding. Based on the above analyses and assessments, and a simulation analysis of the economic selfadjusting power and macro policy pulling effect, this paper forms the forecast and prospect of China's macroeconomic core indicators in 2020, and then puts forward systematic policy suggestions.

Key words: China's macroeconomy in 2020, COVID19 epidemic, economic recovery, macrocontrol policies