经济理论与经济管理

• 公共经济 • 上一篇    下一篇

微观视角下的养老金替代率与居民消费行为

刘雯1,杭斌2   

  1. 刘雯,北京师范大学经济与工商管理学院,邮编:100875,电子信箱:liuwen19892006@whueducn;杭斌,山西财经大学统计学院。
  • 出版日期:2016-11-16 发布日期:2016-11-21
  • 基金资助:
    本文得到国家自然科学基金项目(70973071)的资助。

PENSION SUBSTITUTION RATE AND RESIDENTS CONSUMPTION BEHAVIOR FROM MICRO RESPECTIVE

LIU Wen1,HANG Bin2   

  1. 1Business School, Beijing Normal University; 2School of Statistics, Shanxi University of Finance and Economics
  • Online:2016-11-16 Published:2016-11-21

摘要: 老龄化背景下,中国养老金“并轨”开始启动,低替代率问题逐渐显露。本文借鉴缓冲储备储蓄理论,首次从微观角度基于养老金并轨和替代率两方面研究养老金制度对于家庭消费行为的影响。结论显示,我国养老金“多轨制”和养老金替代率均显著影响居民消费行为。机关事业单位人员比企业及其他人员消费倾向更高;在控制养老金“并轨”问题后,提高养老金替代率有助于刺激城镇居民增加消费支出。这些均对低收入和女性户主家庭更为明显。

关键词:

Abstract: With the gradually intensified aging level, the combination of the multitrack is officially launched with extensive focus on the low substitution rate at the same timeFirst from the micro perspective, this paper applies bufferstock savings theory and relative empirical analysis to study the effect of pension system on the consumption behavior from two aspects: pension multitrack and substitutionThe results both show that Chinas exist of the pension multitrack and low substitution rate to some extent can both explain consumption behaviorCivil servants and institutional staffs hold higher consumption tendency than enterprise personnelAfter controlling the multitrack,improving the pension substitution rate can help stimulate consumption expenditure, especially for those families which have lower income level and female household head.

Key words: bufferstock savings , consumption level , multitrack , pension substitution rate, Tobit