经济理论与经济管理

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投资者对公告信息的解读是无偏的吗*——来自媒体情绪影响的实证分析

陈耿宣1,江舞2   

  1. 1  加州大学伯克利分校;    2  西南财经大学金融学院。
  • 出版日期:2016-05-16
  • 基金资助:

    本文得到国家留学基金委建设高水平大学公派项目(201506980026)的资助。

IS INVESTORS INTERPRETATION OF EARNING INFORMATION UNBIASED——Empirical Analysis of Media Sentiment Effect

CHEN Geng-xuan1,JIANG Wu2   

  1. 1University of California, Haas School of Business, USA;
    2School of Economics, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics)
  • Online:2016-05-16

摘要:

基于全国性财经媒体负面词汇比例构建媒体悲观指数,结合中国A股上市公司2004—2013年的盈余公告事件,构建包含盈余公告市场反应、媒体情绪和消息类型的面板数据固定效应模型,检验投资者对盈余信息的反应是否受媒体情绪影响。研究发现:(1)对于同类型的盈余公告,媒体悲观程度越高,公告异常收益越低。(2)媒体情绪对高度消息的影响较低度消息显著,市场对坏消息的反应在媒体悲观时期更显著,对好消息的反应在媒体乐观时期更显著。(3)媒体情绪对坏消息的影响较好消息更显著。研究证明投资者对于盈余信息的解读受媒体情绪的影响,且这种影响与盈余信息的类别密切相关。

关键词: 盈余信息 , 媒体情绪 , 消息类型 , 股票事件研究 , 固定效应模型

Abstract:

This paper utilizes negative words proportion in countrywide financial newspapers to construct the media pessimism index, which measures the media sentimentWe combine the media pessimism index with the panel of earning announcement events during period 2004—2013 to empirically test the effects of the media sentiment on the earning announcement abnormal returns, through which the question on whether investors unbiasedly react to earning information is answeredThe empirical results show: (1)For earning announcements containing the same information, the higher the media pessimism, the lower the announcement abnormal returns(2) The markets reaction of bad news is more pronounced during pessimistic periodsOn the other hand, the markets reaction of good news is more pronounced during optimistic periods(3) The effects of media sentiment are more pronounced for bad news than good newsThe results indicate that the media sentiment effect has an essential impact on the investors interpretation of earning information, and the effect is closely related to the message type.

Key words: earning information , media sentiment , message type , stock event study , fixed effects model