经济理论与经济管理 ›› 2014, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (10): 100-110.

• 国际经济 • 上一篇    下一篇

人民币升值的逆传递效应:
基于供给冲击和需求冲击的分析

王国松   

  1. 上海大学经济学院,上海200444
  • 收稿日期:2014-09-09 出版日期:2014-10-16 发布日期:2014-10-29
  • 作者简介:王国松(1968—),男,安徽滁州人,上海大学经济学院教授,经济学博士。
  • 基金资助:

    上海市教育委员会科研创新重点项目成果(14ZS091)

THE REVERSE PASSTHROUGH EFFECT OF RMB APPRECIATION:
 AN ANALYSIS BASED ON SUPPLY SHOCKS AND DEMAND SHOCKS

WANG  Guo-Song   

  1. School of Economics of Shanghai University, Shanghai 200444, China
  • Received:2014-09-09 Online:2014-10-16 Published:2014-10-29

摘要: 基于供给冲击与需求冲击的研究视角,本文阐述了人民币升值的逆传递效应的传导机制。运用协整与向量误差修正模型,实证检验了人民币名义有效汇率与人民币对美元的双边名义汇率的逆传递效应。结果表明,无论在长期还是在短期,人民币升值都不具有通货紧缩效应,而是具有逆传递效应,并且名义有效汇率的逆传递效应强于双边名义汇率。

关键词: 人民币升值 , 逆传递效应 , 供给冲击 , 需求冲击

Abstract: Based on the perspective of the supply shocks and demand shocks, this paper explains the transmission mechanism of the reverse passthrough effect of RMB Appreciation, and makes an empirical test on the reverse passthrough effect of RMB nominal effective exchange rate of and bilateral nominal exchange rate of RMB against the USdollar by cointegration and vector error correction modelThe results show that, whether in the long run or short run, the RMB appreciation dont have the deflation effect, but with the reverse passthrough effect, and the reverse passthrough effect of RMB nominal effective exchange rate is stronger than the bilateral nominal exchange rate of RMB against the US

Key words: RMB appreciation , reverse passthrough effect , supply shock , demand shock