Table of Content

16 February 2006, Volume 26 Issue 2

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MACROECONOMIC TREND AND THE BASIC ORIENTATION OF MACRO- CONTROL POLICIES

CONG Ming

2006, (2):  5-11. 

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While the current economic situation presents a good trend of growth,the next macroeconomic trend still is uncertain,and the coexist of two economic trends- uptrend and downtrend- reflects that inflation press and deflation effect will yet exist in future,so it is a critical timing of macro- control.Focusing on the four main expectation goals of macro- control,the "steady" is the priority of the macroeconomic policy,and the fine- tuning efforts will be made at proper degree and in proper timing.To promote the economy to increase in a steady and relatively fast mode,the steady financial and monetary policies should be adopted,the cooperation of all kinds of macroeconomic policies should be strengthened,and the lever effects of price,taxation and exchange rate etc should be exerted.

A COMPARATIVE STUDY ON THEORY OF NATIONAL INCOME BETWEEN KEYNES AND MARX

ZHANG Jian- jun

2006, (2):  12-19. 

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There are intrinsic comparability and logic relation between the basic national income function and macroeconomic equilibrium condition(I=S) in Keynesian mode and those of Marx's theory of capitalist reproduction of two departments.As a study on the overall state of economy,the national income function and macroeconomic equilibrium condition(I=S) in Keynesian mode can be driven from a simple transfiguration of the function and condition of macroeconomic equilibrium of Marx's theory of reproduction of two departments.Keynesian macroeconomics is the direct assimilation and objective extension of Marx's mode of reproduction of two departments and relative economic thoughts.

THE NATURE OF EXPECTATIONS OF FINANCIAL INDICATORS IN INDUSTRIAL ENTERPRISES IN CHINA

Wang Jin-bin

2006, (2):  42-47. 

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Expectations of financial indicators in industrial enterprises in China have significant error with the actual results in both long-run and short-run,indicating that expectations of financial indicators of sale in big and medium state-owned enterprises haven't the nature of rational expectation.As to the techniques that transform qualitative data into quantitative analysis,the transform results of limited Anderson mode,where error terms lie in AR(2)locus,are better than those of other methods,and the results delivered with the transforming techniques are better than those delivered only with the method of Naive expectation.

AN ANALYSIS OF POSTAL PRIVATIZATION REFORM IN JAPAN AND ITS REVELATIONS

WU Han-hong

2006, (2):  59-64. 

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The background of postal privatization reform in Japan is that Japan Post monopolizes absolutely the postal service market in Japan,and such a competition structure has lots of disadvantages.Postal privatization reform is the concrete expression of the political program "big businesses and small government" of Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi.In spite of the fact that part of national people,the ins and the outs voted against the proposal of postal privatization reform initially,Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi adopted the strategy of "seeking the advice from the people" to make the proposal of postal privatization reform approved.The revelations of postal privatization reform in Japan to postal reform in China include the followings: to deregulate and liberalize market access,introducing the competition mechanism;to give high note to the issue of interest group in the institutional reform;to pay attention to the reform strategy of "seeking the advice from the people".