Economic Theory and Business Management ›› 2024, Vol. 44 ›› Issue (10): 88-107.
Previous Articles Next Articles
Online:
Published:
基金资助:
Abstract: Given that China possesses a large and potential domestic market,we present a heterogeneousagent model examining trade and migration patterns among Chinese regions,and analyze the change in income inequality We quantify the internal and international trade costs,total factor productivity (TFP) and internal migration costs using National Census data and Interprovincial Inputoutput data from 2000 to 2015 Our findings indicate that both internal and international trade costs,as well as internal migration costs,have decreased TFP has shown a trend of first increasing and then decreasing,with regional variations We quantify the impact of these exogenous shocks on national and provincial economic growth and income distribution in China The results show that the decrease in internal and international trade costs and the change in provincial TFP can promote the growth of real GDP However,these shocks may also exacerbate national income inequality,increasing the Gini coefficient by 0020,0010,and 0109,respectively,between 2000 and 2015 Based on Dagums decomposition,interprovincial income inequality is significantly higher,serving as the primary contributor to national income inequality Furthermore,lower migration costs can reduce interprovincial income inequality,with the Gini coefficient decreasing more substantially when interacting with shocks in trade costs and TFP We further decompose income into labor and capital income,revealing that under exogenous shocks from trade costs and TFP,both labor and capital income inequality tend to widen across provinces,leading to a general rightward shift in income distribution Simultaneous migration cost shocks can reduce interprovincial inequality Additionally,we classify the provinces into four regions—Eastern,Central,Western,and Northeastern—and find regional heterogeneity We also evaluate the heterogeneous effects at the provincial level The conclusion suggests that it is important to fully recognize the bidirectional role of internal and international trade shocks,along with TFP shocks,in promoting economic growth while also intensifying income inequality It is essential to leverage the potential of Chinas vast domestic market and continuously promote the construction of a unified national market Concurrently,managing the relationship between economic growth and common prosperity is crucial We offer policy insights with the goal of mitigating income inequality and achieving common prosperity through reducing barriers to migration across regions
Key words: trade costs, migration costs, total factor productivity, income inequality, construction of a unified national market
摘要: 本文构建了一个描述多地区参与国内、国际贸易与人口迁移的异质性个体模型,采用2000—2015年全国人口普查、省间投入产出等数据,测算我国国内、国际贸易成本,全要素生产率(TFP)与国内迁移成本,并分析三者的变动及其对收入不平等的影响。结果表明,虽然贸易成本以及TFP等冲击有助于经济增长,但同时也会加剧全国收入不平等,而迁移成本冲击能够降低收入不平等。基于Dagum基尼系数分解发现,我国省间基尼系数明显增加,然而迁移成本冲击能够显著缓解省间收入不平等,并且在与贸易成本、TFP等冲击交互时作用更大。进一步分析发现,工资收入和资本收入的省间不平等均有扩大的趋势,通过促进人口迁移能够起到缓解作用。此外,外生冲击也存在明显的地区异质性效应。本文结论表明,要充分认识到国内、国际贸易成本以及TFP等冲击对促进经济增长和扩大收入不平等的双向作用,通过打破跨地区的人口迁移壁垒,可以缩小收入不平等、实现共同富裕。
关键词: 贸易成本, 迁移成本, 全要素生产率, 收入不平等, 全国统一大市场建设
ZOU Wei, HUANG Renhao, CAI Nuoxuan, FANG Yingfeng. Trade Costs,Internal Migration and Income Inequality[J]. Economic Theory and Business Management, 2024, 44(10): 88-107.
邹薇, 黄仁豪, 蔡诺璇, 方迎风. 贸易成本、人口迁移与收入不平等[J]. 经济理论与经济管理, 2024, 44(10): 88-107.
0 / / Recommend
Add to citation manager EndNote|Ris|BibTeX
URL: http://jjll.ruc.edu.cn/EN/
http://jjll.ruc.edu.cn/EN/Y2024/V44/I10/88