Economic Theory and Business Management
Previous Articles Next Articles
WANG Xianbin1HUANG Liangxiong2
Online:
Published:
王贤彬1,黄亮雄2
基金资助:
Abstract: Based on the government structure theory, this paper analyzes the Chinese local governments economic growth target formulation pattern. Theoretically, the paper puts forward the theoretical framework of vertical adjustment of temporal dimension and lateral response of spatial dimension in the implementation of target management of economic growth. In the empirical study, this paper finds that the local economic growth target has a positive response to the local economic growth and a positive strategic response to the economic growth target in other regions, while making strategic reverse adjustment to the national actual economic growth trend. At the same time, the adjustment of local economic growth target presents prominent heterogeneity, which is manifested in the difference of coastal and inland areas, the difference of the period before and after the financial crisis, and the difference of the cycle of the congress. Overall, the formulation of local economic growth targets appears radical, volatility and interaction. These findings can provide enlightenment for China's macroeconomic management practice and the steady and sustainable growth of regional economy.
Key words: local government , economic growth target , official promotion
摘要: 本文基于政府结构理论对中国地方政府的经济增长目标制定模式进行了理论讨论和实证分析。理论上,本文完整地提出了地方政府实施经济增长目标调整的三元框架,涵盖了时间维度自我纵向调整、空间维度横向竞争以及层级维度对上反应。实证上,本文采用2001—2013年31个省区的实际经济增长和经济增长目标数据,运用空间计量回归模型发现,地方经济增长目标对本地实际经济增长走势做出显著的正向反应,对其他地区的经济增长目标也做出显著的正向策略性反应,而对全国性的实际经济增长走势做出策略性的逆向反应。同时,地方经济增长目标调整呈现出多维度异质性,具体表现在沿海和内陆区域差异、金融危机前后阶段差异以及党代会年份周期差异。总体来看,地方经济增长目标制定呈现激进性、波动性和互动性。本文的发现意味着,中央应当注重对地方政府的经济增长业绩考核的激励相容,以提升中国宏观经济管理和地方经济可持续增长的稳定性。
关键词: 地方政府 , 经济增长目标 , 官员晋升
WANG Xianbin1HUANG Liangxiong2. LOCAL ECONOMIC GROWTH TARGET MANAGEMENT—— A Triplefactor Framework of Theoretical Construction and Empirical Test[J]. Economic Theory and Business Management.
王贤彬1,黄亮雄2. 地方经济增长目标管理*——一个三元框架的理论构建与实证检验[J]. 经济理论与经济管理.
0 / / Recommend
Add to citation manager EndNote|Ris|BibTeX
URL: http://jjll.ruc.edu.cn/EN/
http://jjll.ruc.edu.cn/EN/Y2019/V39/I9/30