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RESEARCH ON THE MEDIATING EFFECT OF INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY ON THE OPTIMIZATION AND UPGRADING OF INDUSTRIAL STRUCTURE ——An Empirical Study Based on the Provincial Data#br#

CHANG Zhongze1,MENG Qian2#br#   

  1. 1Research Institute of Finance and Economics,Central University of Finance and Economics;
    2National Center for Science & Technology Evaluation
  • Online:2018-06-21 Published:2018-06-16

信息技术影响产业结构优化升级的中介效应分析*——来自中国省级层面的经验证据

昌忠泽1,孟倩2
  

  1. 1  中央财经大学财经研究院;     2  科技部科技评估中心。
  • 基金资助:
    本文得到教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目(15JZD011)的资助。感谢匿名评审人提出的修改建议,笔者已做了相应修改,本文文责自负。

Abstract:

This paper tests the four mediating effectconsumption demand effect,innovation effect,labor endowment effect,labor productivity effect using the 31 provincial data from 1995 to 2012The empirical results show that information technology can effectively improves the development of the hightech industry in manufacturing industryIt is true that information technology can guide or force the industrial structure to change from laborintensive and resource intensive to knowledge intensive through four effects,but there is also an inefficient evolution of industrial structureIn addition,there are regional differences in the promotion effect of information technology on the transformation and upgrading of industrial structureThe promotion effect in the central and western regions is greater than that in the eastern regionAt the end of the paper,the relevant policy suggestions are put forward

Key words: information technology , upgrading of industrial structure , mediating effect

摘要:

本文利用1995—2012年省级面板数据对信息技术促进产业结构优化升级的消费需求、创新驱动、劳动力禀赋、劳动生产率等效应进行了检验。实证研究表明:信息技术能有效推动制造业向高新技术产业转型,引导或倒逼产业结构由劳动密集型、资源密集型向知识密集型转变,但存在“产业结构演进无效率”现象,且信息技术对产业结构转型升级的促进作用存在区域差异,中西部地区的产业结构升级效应要大于东部地区。本文最后提出了相关的政策建议。

关键词: 信息技术 , 产业结构优化升级 , 中介效应