Economic Theory and Business Management
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WEI Chu
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魏楚#br#
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Abstract: City is the major energy user and emission source in China, which accounts for 70% of total energy consumption To achieve the sustainable development, China need to further boost the urban development while lower the huge energy demand Will the accelerating urbanization process lead to higher energy demand? This issue raises intensive attention from the decisionmakers, public, and academic society Most previous studies concluded that the urbanization is positively associated with household energy demand However, the conclusion is based on aggregated data in a static framework Based on some observation worldwide and evidence among Chinas provinces, we question this point We intensively screen the literature and classify them into “topdown” and “bottomup” perspective We conclude that there are three research areas need to be further enhanced First, it is necessary to combine different viewpoints and examine the decisionmakers response to the dynamic change result from the urbanization Second, the microlevel data and experimental methods are needed for causal inference and policy assessment Third, scholars suggest to study Chinas case using modern analytical methods and to summarize the general experience to form the “Chinese pattern”.
Key words: urbanization , residential energy demand , mechanism , literature review
摘要: 城市消耗了中国70%的能源总量,新型城镇化发展要求实现“高城镇化、低能源消耗”。未来的城镇化是否会推高居民能源需求?以往观点往往得出肯定的结论。本文基于典型事实和逻辑推理对此提出质疑,分别对基于“自上而下”和 “自下而上”视角的两类文献进行了综述和比较,并构建了一个融合两种研究视角的传导机制分析框架。在系统总结现有文献的基础上,本文提出未来三个可创新的方向:首先是融合不同学科与视角,将微观居民的用能行为置于城镇化这一动态变迁中进行研究;其次是突破数据和研究方法局限,运用微观数据和实验性方法来科学识别相关性和因果性,并进行政策影响评估;最后是结合国际化视野和规范分析方法来研究中国城镇化中的能源、环境等本土问题,并凝练形成城镇低碳化发展的“中国模式”与“中国经验”。
关键词: 城镇化 , 居民能源需求 , 影响机制 , 文献综述
WEI Chu. WILL URBANIZATION INCREASE RESIDENTIAL ENERGY DEMAND——A Literature Review[J]. Economic Theory and Business Management.
魏楚. 城镇化会增加居民能源需求吗——基于事实与文献的述评*[J]. 经济理论与经济管理.
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http://jjll.ruc.edu.cn/EN/Y2017/V37/I1/95